England · Championship

Norwich vs Burnley

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

57% confidence

Norwich 57.4% Draw 17.1% Burnley 25.5%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 86%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

86%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Norwich: 6 points versus 4 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Norwich 1 wins, 1 draws, Burnley 0 wins in the last 2 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.9%

Exact-score model probability

Norwich

W L L W L L

Form 2-0-4 Goals 8:14 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2.33

Burnley

L D D D L D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 7:10 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.67

Head to head · last 2

Norwich 1wins ·1 draws ·Burnley 0wins

Norwich 2-0 BurnleyApr 10, 2022

Norwich 0-0 BurnleyOct 2, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Norwich win57.4%

Draw17.1%

Burnley win25.5%

Over 1.5 goals97.5%

Over 2.5 goals90.6%

Over 3.5 goals78.7%

Both teams to score85.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.1%

Home Over 0.5

91.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.0%

Home or Draw (1X)78.1%

Draw No Bet - Home73.1%

Both Halves Over 0.572.6%

Goal in Both Halves72.6%

Home Win59.3%

Draw or Away (X2)40.6%

Draw No Bet - Away26.9%

Away Win21.8%

Draw18.9%

Exactly 1 Goal8.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.8%

Over 1.5 Goals89.7%

Under 5.5 Goals80.6%

Over 2.5 Goals74.1%

Under 4.5 Goals65.5%

2-4 Goals55.3%

Over 3.5 Goals54.0%

4+ Goals54.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals46.0%

1-3 Goals43.9%

3-4 Goals39.6%

2-3 Goals35.8%

Over 4.5 Goals34.5%

Under 2.5 Goals25.9%

1-2 Goals23.7%

Exactly 3 Goals20.2%

Over 5.5 Goals19.4%

Exactly 2 Goals15.6%

Under 1.5 Goals10.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.2%

Exactly 0 Goals2.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.1%

Away Team to Score76.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.5%

Home Clean Sheet23.7%

Home Win to Nil21.6%

Away Clean Sheet8.8%

Away Win to Nil6.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.1%

Away Over 0.576.2%

Home Over 1.569.7%

Home Over 2.543.7%

Home 3+ Goals43.7%

Away Over 1.542.1%

Away Exactly 134.1%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Away Exactly 224.5%

Away Exactly 023.7%

Home Exactly 121.4%

Away Over 2.517.6%

Away 3+ Goals17.6%

Home Exactly 08.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home90.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)78.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home78.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)61.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away61.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)38.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home38.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)21.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.0%

Home to win by 3+21.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.9%

Home to win by 120.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.3%

Home to win by 217.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.4%

Away to win by 112.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw6.1%

Away to win by 26.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.3%

Away to win by 3+3.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.562.2%

Home & Over 2.548.0%

Home & BTTS37.7%

Home & No BTTS21.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.5%

Draw & BTTS16.8%

Away & Over 2.516.6%

Away & BTTS15.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.9%

Home & Under 2.511.2%

Draw & Over 2.59.5%

Draw & Under 2.59.4%

BTTS & Under 2.57.3%

Away & No BTTS6.7%

Away & Under 2.55.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.5%

HT Over 1.551.9%

HT Under 1.548.1%

2nd Half More Goals47.2%

HT Home Win46.1%

HT/FT Home/Home39.1%

HT Draw32.3%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Both Teams Score31.7%

HT Away Win21.6%

Equal Goals Each Half20.7%

HT Under 0.517.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.0%

HT/FT Away/Away12.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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