England · League Cup

Norwich vs Milton Keynes Dons

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Aug 8

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

83% confidence

Norwich 4.9% Draw 12.4% Milton Keynes Dons 82.7%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Team to Score

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 11.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.3%

Exact-score model probability

Norwich

L L D L L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 2:17 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 2.83

Milton Keynes Dons

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📈 Probability Breakdown

Norwich win4.9%

Draw12.4%

Milton Keynes Dons win82.7%

Over 1.5 goals88.8%

Over 2.5 goals70.9%

Over 3.5 goals49.9%

Both teams to score47.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

88.6%

Over 1.5 Goals

87.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)94.0%

Draw No Bet - Away93.7%

Home or Away (12)88.6%

Away Win83.0%

Both Halves Over 0.570.2%

Goal in Both Halves70.2%

Home or Draw (1X)16.6%

Draw11.0%

Exactly 1 Goal9.3%

Draw No Bet - Home6.3%

Home Win5.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals87.8%

Under 5.5 Goals83.7%

Over 2.5 Goals70.7%

Under 4.5 Goals69.6%

2-4 Goals57.4%

Under 3.5 Goals50.3%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Over 3.5 Goals49.7%

4+ Goals49.7%

1-3 Goals47.4%

3-4 Goals40.2%

2-3 Goals38.1%

Over 4.5 Goals30.4%

Under 2.5 Goals29.3%

1-2 Goals26.4%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Exactly 2 Goals17.1%

Over 5.5 Goals16.3%

Under 1.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals2.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score94.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.2%

Away Clean Sheet50.3%

Home Team to Score49.3%

Away Win to Nil47.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.8%

Home Clean Sheet5.0%

Home Win to Nil2.5%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.594.6%

Away Over 1.579.6%

Away Over 2.557.1%

Away 3+ Goals57.1%

Home Exactly 050.3%

Home Over 0.549.3%

Home Exactly 134.4%

Away Exactly 222.5%

Away Exactly 115.0%

Home Over 1.514.9%

Home Exactly 211.7%

Away Exactly 05.0%

Home Over 2.53.2%

Home 3+ Goals3.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away94.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)87.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home87.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)83.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)74.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home74.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)64.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away64.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)56.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home56.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)43.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away43.2%

Away to win by 3+43.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)35.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home35.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away24.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.3%

Away to win by 221.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.5%

Away to win by 118.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw18.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)16.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home16.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw12.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away12.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw7.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)5.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.2%

Home to win by 14.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.1%

Home to win by 21.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.3%

Home to win by 3+0.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.564.1%

Away & No BTTS47.8%

BTTS & Over 2.541.6%

Away & BTTS35.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.529.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.8%

Away & Under 2.518.9%

Draw & BTTS8.5%

Draw & Under 2.57.7%

BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Home & Over 2.53.3%

Draw & Over 2.53.3%

Home & BTTS3.1%

Home & No BTTS2.5%

Home & Under 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.9%

HT Away Win63.8%

HT/FT Away/Away61.0%

HT Under 1.550.8%

HT Over 1.549.2%

2nd Half More Goals46.7%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw27.9%

Equal Goals Each Half21.3%

HT Both Teams Score19.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.3%

HT Under 0.519.1%

HT Home Win8.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

HT/FT Home/Home2.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.2%

HT/FT Away/Home0.4%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Norwich win45%

Draw45%

Milton Keynes Dons win10%

AdviceDouble chance : Norwich or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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