England · Championship

Norwich vs Portsmouth

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

65% confidence

Norwich 65.0% Draw 15.5% Portsmouth 19.5%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

85%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-2 at 5.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Portsmouth: 6 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

5.8%

Exact-score model probability

Norwich

L L L L W W

Form 2-0-4 Goals 12:13 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 2.17

Portsmouth

W L D D W L

Form 2-2-2 Goals 7:7 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Norwich win65.0%

Draw15.5%

Portsmouth win19.5%

Over 1.5 goals97.8%

Over 2.5 goals91.3%

Over 3.5 goals80.0%

Both teams to score84.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

91.7%

Over 2.5 Goals

90.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

90.2%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.587.4%

Goal in Both Halves87.4%

Home or Away (12)84.4%

Home or Draw (1X)79.2%

Draw No Bet - Home76.6%

Home Win64.7%

Draw or Away (X2)34.3%

Draw No Bet - Away23.4%

Away Win19.7%

Draw14.6%

Exactly 1 Goal2.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals96.4%

Over 2.5 Goals90.4%

Over 3.5 Goals79.2%

4+ Goals79.2%

Over 4.5 Goals63.8%

Under 5.5 Goals53.3%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Over 5.5 Goals46.7%

Under 4.5 Goals36.2%

2-4 Goals32.6%

3-4 Goals26.6%

Under 3.5 Goals20.8%

1-3 Goals19.4%

2-3 Goals17.2%

Exactly 3 Goals11.1%

Under 2.5 Goals9.6%

1-2 Goals8.2%

Exactly 2 Goals6.0%

Under 1.5 Goals3.6%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.4%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score86.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)83.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)16.5%

Home Clean Sheet12.9%

Home Win to Nil12.5%

Away Clean Sheet3.0%

Away Win to Nil2.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Away Over 0.586.1%

Home Over 1.585.4%

Home Over 2.566.9%

Home 3+ Goals66.9%

Away Over 1.559.8%

Away Over 2.533.0%

Away 3+ Goals33.0%

Away Exactly 226.8%

Away Exactly 126.3%

Home Exactly 218.5%

Away Exactly 012.9%

Home Exactly 110.6%

Home Exactly 03.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)90.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away90.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home89.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away81.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)68.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away68.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)51.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away51.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)47.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home47.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)34.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away34.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.9%

Home to win by 3+30.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)17.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home17.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.2%

Home to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.6%

Home to win by 216.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw13.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw10.0%

Away to win by 110.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away9.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home8.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.6%

Away to win by 25.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw5.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away4.1%

Away to win by 3+4.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home3.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.6%

Home & Over 2.560.9%

Home & BTTS52.2%

Away & Over 2.518.1%

Away & BTTS17.1%

Draw & BTTS14.2%

Home & No BTTS12.5%

Draw & Over 2.511.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.8%

Home & Under 2.53.8%

Draw & Under 2.53.2%

BTTS & Under 2.52.8%

Away & No BTTS2.6%

Away & Under 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.591.7%

HT Over 1.571.1%

HT Home Win52.7%

2nd Half More Goals50.6%

HT Both Teams Score47.6%

HT/FT Home/Home45.7%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.528.9%

HT Draw25.3%

HT Away Win22.0%

Equal Goals Each Half17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.2%

HT/FT Away/Away11.7%

HT Under 0.58.3%

HT/FT Away/Home5.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away5.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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