England · Premier League

Nottingham Forest vs Coventry

Kick-off 17:30 · Sat, Sep 19

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

54% confidence

Nottingham Forest 53.9% Draw 29.1% Coventry 17.1%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

83%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

81%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Nottingham Forest

W D D L L D

Form 1-3-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.17

Coventry

L L L W L W

Form 2-0-4 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Nottingham Forest win53.9%

Draw29.1%

Coventry win17.1%

Over 1.5 goals67.0%

Over 2.5 goals67.5%

Over 3.5 goals18.9%

Both teams to score67.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

88.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

88.2%

Away Team to Score

87.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.7%

Draw or Away (X2)73.3%

Both Halves Over 0.567.4%

Goal in Both Halves67.4%

Draw No Bet - Away66.2%

Away Win52.0%

Home or Draw (1X)47.9%

Draw No Bet - Home33.8%

Home Win26.6%

Draw21.3%

Exactly 1 Goal10.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.9%

Over 1.5 Goals86.2%

Under 5.5 Goals86.1%

Under 4.5 Goals73.0%

Over 2.5 Goals67.5%

2-4 Goals59.1%

Under 3.5 Goals54.1%

1-3 Goals51.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals45.9%

4+ Goals45.9%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.3%

Under 2.5 Goals32.5%

1-2 Goals29.4%

Over 4.5 Goals27.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.7%

Over 5.5 Goals13.9%

Under 1.5 Goals13.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.1%

Exactly 0 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score87.1%

Home Team to Score75.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.8%

Away Clean Sheet24.0%

Away Win to Nil20.9%

Home Clean Sheet12.8%

Home Win to Nil9.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.587.1%

Home Over 0.575.9%

Away Over 1.560.8%

Home Over 1.541.7%

Home Exactly 134.3%

Away Over 2.533.7%

Away 3+ Goals33.7%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 126.3%

Home Exactly 224.4%

Home Exactly 024.0%

Home Over 2.517.3%

Home 3+ Goals17.3%

Away Exactly 012.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.7%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away95.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)88.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away88.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)85.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home85.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)73.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away73.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)69.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home69.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)52.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)47.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home47.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)30.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away30.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)26.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.4%

Away to win by 121.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.7%

Away to win by 215.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)15.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away15.0%

Away to win by 3+15.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw14.9%

Home to win by 114.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home11.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw8.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw7.6%

Home to win by 27.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)4.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home4.2%

Home to win by 3+4.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.557.2%

Away & Over 2.539.2%

Away & BTTS31.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.4%

Away & No BTTS20.9%

Home & Over 2.519.1%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

Home & BTTS16.9%

Away & Under 2.512.8%

Draw & Under 2.512.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.510.3%

Home & No BTTS9.8%

Draw & Over 2.59.2%

BTTS & Under 2.59.0%

Home & Under 2.57.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.1%

HT Under 1.553.6%

HT Over 1.546.4%

2nd Half More Goals46.1%

HT Away Win40.5%

HT Draw35.2%

HT/FT Away/Away33.1%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score28.6%

HT Home Win24.3%

Equal Goals Each Half22.0%

HT Under 0.520.9%

HT/FT Home/Home15.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home8.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.2%

HT/FT Home/Away3.6%

HT/FT Away/Home2.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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