England · Premier League

Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City

Kick-off 18:30 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Nottingham Forest 21.1% Draw 26.8% Manchester City 52.1%

Over 2.5 - 58% BTTS - 32%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

81%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

68%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 16%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Manchester City: 4 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.00 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

16%

Exact-score model probability

Nottingham Forest

L D L L L W

Form 1-1-4 Goals 4:9 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.5

Manchester City

W L L W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 14:12 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 5

Nottingham Forest 1wins ·1 draws ·Manchester City 3wins

Nottingham Forest 2-2 Manchester CityMar 4, 2026

Nottingham Forest 1-2 Manchester CityDec 27, 2025

Nottingham Forest 1-0 Manchester CityMar 8, 2025

Nottingham Forest 0-3 Manchester CityDec 4, 2024

Nottingham Forest 0-2 Manchester CityApr 28, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Nottingham Forest win21.1%

Draw26.8%

Manchester City win52.1%

Over 1.5 goals73.9%

Over 2.5 goals57.9%

Over 3.5 goals26.0%

Both teams to score32.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

90.2%

Away Over 0.5

90.2%

Home or Away (12)

84.9%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)93.6%

Draw No Bet - Away92.6%

Home or Away (12)84.9%

Away Win78.6%

Both Halves Over 0.556.9%

Goal in Both Halves56.9%

Home or Draw (1X)21.4%

Exactly 1 Goal16.7%

Draw15.1%

Draw No Bet - Home7.4%

Home Win6.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.1%

Under 5.5 Goals93.3%

Under 4.5 Goals84.3%

Over 1.5 Goals77.4%

Under 3.5 Goals68.5%

1-3 Goals62.6%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals53.8%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals46.2%

2-3 Goals45.9%

1-2 Goals40.3%

3-4 Goals38.1%

Over 3.5 Goals31.5%

4+ Goals31.5%

Exactly 2 Goals23.6%

Under 1.5 Goals22.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals15.7%

Over 5.5 Goals6.7%

Under 0.5 Goals5.9%

Exactly 0 Goals5.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score90.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)64.4%

Away Clean Sheet60.5%

Away Win to Nil54.6%

Home Team to Score39.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)35.6%

Home Clean Sheet9.7%

Home Win to Nil3.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.590.2%

Away Over 1.567.6%

Home Exactly 060.5%

Away Over 2.541.2%

Away 3+ Goals41.2%

Home Over 0.539.4%

Home Exactly 130.4%

Away Exactly 226.4%

Away Exactly 122.6%

Away Exactly 09.7%

Home Over 1.59.1%

Home Exactly 27.6%

Home Over 2.51.5%

Home 3+ Goals1.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)97.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)93.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home93.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away93.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home84.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)78.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)68.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home68.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)55.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away55.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)44.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home44.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)31.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away31.9%

Away to win by 3+31.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.5%

Away to win by 123.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw23.2%

Away to win by 223.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home21.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away15.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw9.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)6.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away6.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw5.0%

Home to win by 15.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw4.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.1%

Home to win by 21.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 3+0.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS54.6%

Away & Over 2.548.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.539.3%

Away & Under 2.529.7%

BTTS & Over 2.528.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.525.1%

Away & BTTS24.0%

Draw & Under 2.512.8%

Draw & BTTS9.2%

BTTS & Under 2.56.9%

Home & No BTTS3.8%

Home & Under 2.53.7%

Home & Over 2.52.6%

Home & BTTS2.5%

Draw & Over 2.52.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.572.1%

HT Under 1.563.6%

HT Away Win57.1%

HT/FT Away/Away54.4%

2nd Half More Goals44.0%

HT Over 1.536.4%

HT Draw35.0%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT Under 0.527.9%

Equal Goals Each Half24.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away22.0%

HT Both Teams Score13.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.2%

HT Home Win7.9%

HT/FT Home/Home3.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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