England · Premier League

Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham

Kick-off 15:00 · Sat, Sep 5

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

52% confidence

Nottingham Forest 51.9% Draw 26.0% Tottenham 22.1%

Over 2.5 - 52% BTTS - 57%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Tottenham: 3 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Nottingham Forest 4 wins, 0 draws, Tottenham 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12%

Exact-score model probability

Nottingham Forest

D L L D L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 6:10 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.67

Tottenham

L W L W L D

Form 2-1-3 Goals 8:9 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

Nottingham Forest 4wins ·0 draws ·Tottenham 1wins

Nottingham Forest 3-0 TottenhamMar 22, 2026

Nottingham Forest 3-0 TottenhamDec 14, 2025

Nottingham Forest 2-1 TottenhamApr 21, 2025

Nottingham Forest 1-0 TottenhamDec 26, 2024

Nottingham Forest 1-3 TottenhamApr 7, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Nottingham Forest win51.9%

Draw26.0%

Tottenham win22.1%

Over 1.5 goals77.4%

Over 2.5 goals51.5%

Over 3.5 goals30.1%

Both teams to score56.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)74.8%

Home or Draw (1X)71.2%

Draw No Bet - Home61.4%

Both Halves Over 0.554.6%

Goal in Both Halves54.6%

Draw or Away (X2)54.1%

Home Win45.9%

Draw No Bet - Away38.6%

Away Win28.8%

Draw25.2%

Exactly 1 Goal18.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.2%

Over 0.5 Goals93.4%

Under 4.5 Goals86.1%

Over 1.5 Goals75.3%

Under 3.5 Goals71.1%

1-3 Goals64.5%

2-4 Goals61.5%

Over 2.5 Goals50.9%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals49.1%

2-3 Goals46.5%

1-2 Goals42.4%

3-4 Goals37.0%

Over 3.5 Goals28.9%

4+ Goals28.9%

Under 1.5 Goals24.7%

Exactly 2 Goals24.4%

Exactly 3 Goals22.1%

Over 4.5 Goals13.9%

Under 0.5 Goals6.6%

Exactly 0 Goals6.6%

Over 5.5 Goals5.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score78.6%

Away Team to Score68.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)54.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)45.8%

Home Clean Sheet31.1%

Home Win to Nil24.4%

Away Clean Sheet21.4%

Away Win to Nil14.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.578.6%

Away Over 0.568.9%

Home Over 1.545.6%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Home Exactly 133.0%

Away Over 1.532.6%

Away Exactly 031.1%

Home Exactly 225.4%

Home Exactly 021.4%

Away Exactly 221.2%

Home Over 2.520.2%

Home 3+ Goals20.2%

Away Over 2.511.4%

Away 3+ Goals11.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away76.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)71.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home71.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)45.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)28.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)23.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home23.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.7%

Home to win by 122.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.2%

Away to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.9%

Home to win by 213.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.3%

Home to win by 3+9.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.0%

Away to win by 28.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.7%

Away to win by 3+3.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.542.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.1%

Home & Over 2.527.8%

Home & No BTTS24.4%

Home & BTTS21.5%

Draw & Under 2.518.6%

Draw & BTTS18.6%

Home & Under 2.518.2%

Away & Over 2.516.5%

Away & No BTTS14.7%

Away & BTTS14.1%

Away & Under 2.512.3%

BTTS & Under 2.512.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.56.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.5%

HT Under 1.565.5%

2nd Half More Goals43.5%

HT Draw41.3%

HT Home Win34.6%

HT Over 1.534.5%

1st Half More Goals31.0%

HT Under 0.529.5%

HT/FT Home/Home27.8%

Equal Goals Each Half25.5%

HT Away Win24.0%

HT Both Teams Score20.5%

HT/FT Away/Away16.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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