UEFA Europa Conference League

NSI Runavik vs FC Lugano

Kick-off 18:30 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90% confidence

NSI Runavik 1.8% Draw 8.3% FC Lugano 89.9%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 31%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 15.2%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FC Lugano: 7 points versus 9 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

15.2%

Exact-score model probability

NSI Runavik

L W L W D

Form 2-1-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.2

FC Lugano

W W W

Form 3-0-0 Goals 8:1 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 0.33

Head to head · last 1

NSI Runavik 0wins ·0 draws ·FC Lugano 1wins

NSI Runavik 0-2 FC LuganoAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

NSI Runavik win1.8%

Draw8.3%

FC Lugano win89.9%

Over 1.5 goals87.6%

Over 2.5 goals69.2%

Over 3.5 goals47.8%

Both teams to score31.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

92.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

Away Win

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away97.6%

Draw or Away (X2)97.2%

Home or Away (12)92.0%

Away Win89.8%

Both Halves Over 0.568.9%

Goal in Both Halves68.9%

Exactly 1 Goal10.0%

Home or Draw (1X)9.6%

Draw7.4%

Draw No Bet - Home2.4%

Home Win2.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Over 1.5 Goals86.7%

Under 5.5 Goals85.2%

Under 4.5 Goals71.5%

Over 2.5 Goals68.9%

2-4 Goals58.2%

Under 3.5 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-3 Goals49.1%

Over 3.5 Goals47.5%

4+ Goals47.5%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.1%

Under 2.5 Goals31.1%

Over 4.5 Goals28.5%

1-2 Goals27.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.8%

Over 5.5 Goals14.8%

Under 1.5 Goals13.3%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)69.7%

Away Clean Sheet67.8%

Away Win to Nil65.0%

Home Team to Score31.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)30.3%

Home Clean Sheet4.1%

Home Win to Nil1.3%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.4%

Away Over 1.582.3%

Home Exactly 067.8%

Away Over 2.561.4%

Away 3+ Goals61.4%

Home Over 0.531.6%

Home Exactly 126.0%

Away Exactly 220.9%

Away Exactly 113.0%

Home Over 1.55.7%

Home Exactly 25.0%

Away Exactly 04.1%

Home Over 2.50.7%

Home 3+ Goals0.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away97.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)91.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)89.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)82.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home82.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)74.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away74.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)66.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home66.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)53.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away53.3%

Away to win by 3+53.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)46.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home46.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)32.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away32.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home25.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.0%

Away to win by 221.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw20.4%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)17.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away17.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.6%

Away to win by 115.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw15.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)9.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home9.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw9.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away7.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)2.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw1.9%

Home to win by 11.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.3%

Home to win by 20.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.566.7%

Away & No BTTS65.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.541.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.2%

BTTS & Over 2.526.9%

Away & BTTS24.8%

Away & Under 2.523.1%

Draw & Under 2.56.2%

Draw & BTTS4.6%

BTTS & Under 2.53.4%

Home & Under 2.51.3%

Home & No BTTS1.3%

Draw & Over 2.51.2%

Home & Over 2.50.9%

Home & BTTS0.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.1%

HT Away Win70.6%

HT/FT Away/Away69.2%

HT Under 1.552.1%

HT Over 1.547.9%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Draw25.2%

Equal Goals Each Half21.7%

HT Under 0.519.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away19.3%

HT Both Teams Score12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.9%

HT Home Win4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.2%

HT/FT Home/Home1.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home1.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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