Spain · Copa del Rey

Numancia vs Oviedo

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Oct 28

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

71% confidence

Numancia 71.0% Draw 17.7% Oviedo 11.3%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 60%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

89%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Numancia

No recent results stored yet

Oviedo

L L L D L L

Form 0-1-5 Goals 1:11 Scored/game 0.17 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Numancia win71.0%

Draw17.7%

Oviedo win11.3%

Over 1.5 goals88.7%

Over 2.5 goals70.4%

Over 3.5 goals49.3%

Both teams to score60.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

87.7%

Home or Draw (1X)

87.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

87.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)87.6%

Draw No Bet - Home85.4%

Home or Away (12)84.0%

Home Win71.8%

Both Halves Over 0.569.7%

Goal in Both Halves69.7%

Draw or Away (X2)28.1%

Draw15.9%

Draw No Bet - Away14.6%

Away Win12.2%

Exactly 1 Goal9.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.7%

Under 5.5 Goals84.0%

Over 2.5 Goals70.3%

Under 4.5 Goals70.0%

2-4 Goals57.7%

Under 3.5 Goals50.8%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals49.2%

4+ Goals49.2%

1-3 Goals48.0%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.5%

Over 4.5 Goals30.0%

Under 2.5 Goals29.7%

1-2 Goals26.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Exactly 2 Goals17.4%

Over 5.5 Goals16.0%

Under 1.5 Goals12.3%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.6%

Away Team to Score63.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)59.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)41.0%

Home Clean Sheet36.3%

Home Win to Nil33.7%

Away Clean Sheet7.2%

Away Win to Nil4.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.6%

Home Over 1.573.7%

Away Over 0.563.5%

Home Over 2.548.8%

Home 3+ Goals48.8%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 036.3%

Away Over 1.526.8%

Home Exactly 224.9%

Home Exactly 118.9%

Away Exactly 218.6%

Away Over 2.58.2%

Away 3+ Goals8.2%

Home Exactly 07.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away93.1%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)87.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home87.6%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)84.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away84.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)71.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away69.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)30.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home30.3%

Home to win by 3+30.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)28.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away28.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.2%

Home to win by 121.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 220.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home15.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw14.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)12.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw8.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw8.1%

Away to win by 18.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 23.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.1%

Away to win by 3+1.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.555.8%

BTTS & Over 2.552.0%

Home & BTTS38.1%

Home & No BTTS33.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.3%

Home & Under 2.515.9%

Draw & BTTS13.2%

Draw & Under 2.59.6%

Away & Over 2.58.2%

Away & BTTS7.6%

BTTS & Under 2.57.0%

Draw & Over 2.56.3%

Away & No BTTS4.6%

Away & Under 2.54.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.6%

HT Home Win54.4%

HT Under 1.551.2%

HT/FT Home/Home49.6%

HT Over 1.548.8%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw31.4%

HT Both Teams Score25.4%

Equal Goals Each Half21.5%

HT Under 0.519.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.5%

HT Away Win14.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.4%

HT/FT Away/Away6.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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