UEFA Europa League

OFI vs Bayer Leverkusen

Kick-off 17:45 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

96% confidence

OFI 95.6% Draw 3.6% Bayer Leverkusen 0.8%

Over 2.5 - 87% BTTS - 36%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

Home Clean Sheet

Poisson P(away scores 0)

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-0 at 12%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +2.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12%

Exact-score model probability

OFI

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 5:0 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0

Bayer Leverkusen

W W W D W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 16:9 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

OFI win95.6%

Draw3.6%

Bayer Leverkusen win0.8%

Over 1.5 goals95.8%

Over 2.5 goals86.6%

Over 3.5 goals71.7%

Both teams to score36.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Win

91.9%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

Over 1.5 Goals

91.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home99.0%

Home or Draw (1X)95.0%

Home or Away (12)92.9%

Home Win91.9%

Both Halves Over 0.583.4%

Goal in Both Halves83.4%

Draw or Away (X2)4.0%

Exactly 1 Goal3.5%

Draw3.1%

Draw No Bet - Away1.0%

Away Win0.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.3%

Over 1.5 Goals91.8%

Over 2.5 Goals83.1%

Over 3.5 Goals68.8%

4+ Goals68.8%

Under 5.5 Goals66.4%

Over 4.5 Goals51.1%

Under 4.5 Goals48.9%

Total Goals Even48.3%

Total Goals Odd47.7%

2-4 Goals40.6%

Over 5.5 Goals33.6%

3-4 Goals32.0%

Under 3.5 Goals31.2%

1-3 Goals26.4%

2-3 Goals22.9%

Under 2.5 Goals16.9%

Exactly 3 Goals14.3%

1-2 Goals12.1%

Exactly 2 Goals8.6%

Under 1.5 Goals8.2%

Under 0.5 Goals4.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)65.3%

Home Clean Sheet60.8%

Home Win to Nil60.1%

Away Team to Score35.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)34.7%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Exactly 060.8%

Away Over 0.535.1%

Away Exactly 127.7%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Away Over 1.57.4%

Away Exactly 26.3%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Away Over 2.51.1%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Away 3+ Goals1.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)91.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)84.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home84.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)75.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)70.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home70.8%

Home to win by 3+70.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)60.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away60.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)53.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home53.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)42.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away42.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)35.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home35.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away25.2%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)20.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home20.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw17.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw15.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 213.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)11.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away11.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.7%

Home to win by 17.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)4.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away4.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw0.8%

Away to win by 10.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 20.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Away to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.581.7%

Home & No BTTS60.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.549.8%

BTTS & Over 2.533.3%

Home & BTTS31.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.511.4%

Home & Under 2.510.3%

Draw & BTTS2.4%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.4%

Draw & Over 2.50.9%

Away & Over 2.50.5%

Away & BTTS0.5%

Away & Under 2.50.4%

Away & No BTTS0.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.2%

HT Home Win81.3%

HT/FT Home/Home80.5%

HT Over 1.565.2%

2nd Half More Goals49.5%

HT Under 1.534.8%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT Both Teams Score16.1%

HT Draw15.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.5%

HT Under 0.510.8%

HT Away Win3.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw1.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.7%

HT/FT Away/Away0.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away0.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions