Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

OH Leuven vs Cercle Brugge

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

38% confidence

OH Leuven 34.6% Draw 27.5% Cercle Brugge 37.9%

Over 2.5 - 95% BTTS - 82%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

82%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

73%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Cercle Brugge: 4 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.33 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

OH Leuven

L L L D W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Cercle Brugge

D D L L W W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 14:14 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 5

OH Leuven 1wins ·1 draws ·Cercle Brugge 3wins

OH Leuven 0-2 Cercle BruggeDec 21, 2025

OH Leuven 2-1 Cercle BruggeNov 8, 2025

OH Leuven 0-1 Cercle BruggeDec 22, 2024

OH Leuven 1-1 Cercle BruggeAug 18, 2024

OH Leuven 1-2 Cercle BruggeDec 16, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

OH Leuven win34.6%

Draw27.5%

Cercle Brugge win37.9%

Over 1.5 goals78.1%

Over 2.5 goals94.5%

Over 3.5 goals30.9%

Both teams to score82.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

HT Over 0.5

89.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

87.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)86.3%

Home or Away (12)86.2%

Draw No Bet - Away85.2%

Both Halves Over 0.583.5%

Goal in Both Halves83.5%

Away Win73.4%

Home or Draw (1X)25.6%

Draw No Bet - Home14.8%

Draw12.9%

Home Win12.7%

Exactly 1 Goal3.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals94.9%

Over 2.5 Goals86.4%

Over 3.5 Goals72.2%

4+ Goals72.2%

Under 5.5 Goals63.0%

Over 4.5 Goals54.5%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Under 4.5 Goals45.5%

2-4 Goals40.4%

Over 5.5 Goals37.0%

3-4 Goals31.8%

Under 3.5 Goals27.8%

1-3 Goals26.2%

2-3 Goals22.8%

Exactly 3 Goals14.2%

Under 2.5 Goals13.6%

1-2 Goals12.0%

Exactly 2 Goals8.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.9%

Home Team to Score77.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.3%

Away Clean Sheet22.0%

Away Win to Nil21.3%

Home Clean Sheet3.1%

Home Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.9%

Away Over 1.585.1%

Home Over 0.577.1%

Away Over 2.566.3%

Away 3+ Goals66.3%

Home Over 1.544.0%

Home Exactly 133.1%

Home Exactly 224.9%

Home Exactly 022.0%

Home Over 2.519.1%

Home 3+ Goals19.1%

Away Exactly 218.8%

Away Exactly 110.8%

Away Exactly 03.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.3%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home87.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away86.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)76.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home76.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)73.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)61.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home61.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)56.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away56.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)42.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home42.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)38.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away38.0%

Away to win by 3+38.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)25.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home25.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.2%

Away to win by 218.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.2%

Away to win by 117.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw15.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)12.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away11.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw10.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw7.5%

Home to win by 17.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away5.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw3.4%

Home to win by 23.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home1.8%

Home to win by 3+1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.571.1%

Away & Over 2.566.9%

Away & BTTS52.2%

Away & No BTTS21.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.515.3%

Draw & BTTS12.2%

Home & Over 2.510.9%

Home & BTTS10.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.1%

Draw & Over 2.58.6%

Away & Under 2.56.6%

Draw & Under 2.54.3%

BTTS & Under 2.53.6%

Home & No BTTS2.4%

Home & Under 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.3%

HT Over 1.565.4%

HT Away Win58.6%

HT/FT Away/Away53.3%

2nd Half More Goals49.6%

HT Both Teams Score38.9%

HT Under 1.534.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw25.3%

Equal Goals Each Half18.0%

HT Home Win16.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away15.9%

HT Under 0.510.7%

HT/FT Home/Home7.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away5.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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