Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

OH Leuven vs KV Mechelen

Kick-off 18:15 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

35% confidence

OH Leuven 35.4% Draw 29.2% KV Mechelen 35.4%

Over 2.5 - 76% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

76%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to OH Leuven: 4 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: OH Leuven 1 wins, 3 draws, KV Mechelen 1 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.9%

Exact-score model probability

OH Leuven

L L L D W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

KV Mechelen

D L L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 7:15 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 2.5

Head to head · last 5

OH Leuven 1wins ·3 draws ·KV Mechelen 1wins

OH Leuven 2-2 KV MechelenFeb 1, 2026

OH Leuven 1-1 KV MechelenOct 25, 2025

OH Leuven 1-2 KV MechelenMay 3, 2025

OH Leuven 1-1 KV MechelenApr 13, 2025

OH Leuven 1-0 KV MechelenJan 31, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

OH Leuven win35.4%

Draw29.2%

KV Mechelen win35.4%

Over 1.5 goals73.5%

Over 2.5 goals75.7%

Over 3.5 goals25.3%

Both teams to score72.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

88.4%

Over 1.5 Goals

87.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.2%

Both Halves Over 0.568.8%

Goal in Both Halves68.8%

Home or Draw (1X)67.0%

Draw No Bet - Home57.8%

Draw or Away (X2)54.8%

Home Win45.2%

Draw No Bet - Away42.2%

Away Win33.0%

Draw21.8%

Exactly 1 Goal10.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals87.1%

Under 5.5 Goals84.8%

Under 4.5 Goals71.2%

Over 2.5 Goals69.2%

2-4 Goals58.3%

Under 3.5 Goals52.1%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.3%

Over 3.5 Goals47.9%

4+ Goals47.9%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.3%

Under 2.5 Goals30.8%

Over 4.5 Goals28.8%

1-2 Goals27.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.3%

Exactly 2 Goals17.9%

Over 5.5 Goals15.2%

Under 1.5 Goals12.9%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals2.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.6%

Away Team to Score80.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.1%

Home Clean Sheet19.5%

Home Win to Nil16.7%

Away Clean Sheet14.4%

Away Win to Nil11.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.6%

Away Over 0.580.5%

Home Over 1.557.7%

Away Over 1.548.6%

Away Exactly 131.9%

Home Over 2.530.6%

Home 3+ Goals30.6%

Home Exactly 127.9%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 226.1%

Away Over 2.522.6%

Away 3+ Goals22.6%

Away Exactly 019.5%

Home Exactly 014.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.9%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away74.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)54.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away54.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)45.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)33.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.0%

Home to win by 120.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.9%

Away to win by 116.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.6%

Home to win by 213.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)11.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home11.6%

Home to win by 3+11.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.7%

Away to win by 29.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.4%

Away to win by 3+6.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.560.0%

Home & Over 2.534.5%

Home & BTTS28.5%

Away & Over 2.524.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.9%

Away & BTTS21.4%

Draw & BTTS19.0%

Home & No BTTS16.7%

Draw & Under 2.511.7%

Away & No BTTS11.6%

Home & Under 2.510.7%

Draw & Over 2.510.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.2%

BTTS & Under 2.58.9%

Away & Under 2.58.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.0%

HT Under 1.552.2%

HT Over 1.547.8%

2nd Half More Goals46.4%

HT Home Win36.3%

HT Draw35.1%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score30.3%

HT Away Win28.6%

HT/FT Home/Home28.2%

Equal Goals Each Half21.7%

HT Under 0.520.0%

HT/FT Away/Away19.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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