Belgium · Jupiler Pro League

OH Leuven vs Standard Liege

Kick-off 19:45 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

34% confidence

OH Leuven 33.8% Draw 32.8% Standard Liege 33.4%

Over 2.5 - 89% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

67%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-3 at 8.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Standard Liege: 4 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: OH Leuven 2 wins, 1 draws, Standard Liege 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.2%

Exact-score model probability

OH Leuven

L L L D W L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:11 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.83

Standard Liege

D D L W D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 9:9 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 5

OH Leuven 2wins ·1 draws ·Standard Liege 2wins

OH Leuven 1-2 Standard LiegeMay 8, 2026

OH Leuven 1-3 Standard LiegeApr 4, 2026

OH Leuven 1-0 Standard LiegeDec 12, 2025

OH Leuven 1-0 Standard LiegeAug 31, 2025

OH Leuven 1-1 Standard LiegeApr 26, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

OH Leuven win33.8%

Draw32.8%

Standard Liege win33.4%

Over 1.5 goals62.4%

Over 2.5 goals89.4%

Over 3.5 goals15.5%

Both teams to score63.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.3%

Draw or Away (X2)

90.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)90.5%

Draw No Bet - Away89.7%

Home or Away (12)87.0%

Away Win78.0%

Both Halves Over 0.575.7%

Goal in Both Halves75.7%

Home or Draw (1X)21.5%

Draw12.5%

Draw No Bet - Home10.3%

Home Win9.0%

Exactly 1 Goal6.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.9%

Over 1.5 Goals91.3%

Over 2.5 Goals77.6%

Under 5.5 Goals76.9%

Under 4.5 Goals60.7%

Over 3.5 Goals58.7%

4+ Goals58.7%

2-4 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals41.3%

Over 4.5 Goals39.3%

1-3 Goals39.2%

3-4 Goals38.4%

2-3 Goals32.5%

Over 5.5 Goals23.1%

Under 2.5 Goals22.4%

1-2 Goals20.3%

Exactly 3 Goals18.9%

Exactly 2 Goals13.7%

Under 1.5 Goals8.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.1%

Exactly 0 Goals1.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.1%

Home Team to Score63.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)60.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)39.1%

Away Clean Sheet35.8%

Away Win to Nil34.2%

Home Clean Sheet4.5%

Home Win to Nil2.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.1%

Away Over 1.581.2%

Home Over 0.563.7%

Away Over 2.559.6%

Away 3+ Goals59.6%

Home Exactly 136.6%

Home Exactly 035.8%

Home Over 1.527.1%

Away Exactly 221.6%

Home Exactly 218.7%

Away Exactly 113.9%

Home Over 2.58.4%

Home 3+ Goals8.4%

Away Exactly 04.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away98.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away96.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)94.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away90.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)88.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home88.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)78.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)76.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home76.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)60.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home60.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)59.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away59.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)39.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home39.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away39.5%

Away to win by 3+39.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)22.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away22.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home21.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.0%

Away to win by 220.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.4%

Away to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw11.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away11.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw6.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw6.1%

Home to win by 16.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away4.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.2%

Home to win by 22.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.8%

Home to win by 3+0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & Over 2.565.3%

BTTS & Over 2.555.8%

Away & BTTS43.8%

Away & No BTTS34.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.516.8%

Away & Under 2.512.7%

Draw & BTTS10.9%

Draw & Under 2.56.7%

Home & Over 2.56.5%

Home & BTTS6.1%

Draw & Over 2.55.8%

BTTS & Under 2.55.1%

Home & No BTTS2.9%

Home & Under 2.52.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.4%

HT Away Win60.6%

HT/FT Away/Away56.6%

HT Over 1.555.5%

2nd Half More Goals47.8%

HT Under 1.544.5%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Both Teams Score27.8%

HT Draw27.3%

Equal Goals Each Half20.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.9%

HT Under 0.515.6%

HT Home Win12.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Home/Home4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away4.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home3.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.1%

HT/FT Away/Home0.9%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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