UEFA Europa League

Olympiakos Piraeus vs Jagiellonia

Kick-off 20:00 · Wed, Sep 16

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

78% confidence

Olympiakos Piraeus 4.8% Draw 17.0% Jagiellonia 78.2%

Over 2.5 - 50% BTTS - 32%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

87%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-2 at 17.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

17.3%

Exact-score model probability

Olympiakos Piraeus

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

Jagiellonia

W W D W

Form 3-1-0 Goals 9:3 Scored/game 2.25 Conceded/game 0.75

📈 Probability Breakdown

Olympiakos Piraeus win4.8%

Draw17.0%

Jagiellonia win78.2%

Over 1.5 goals75.6%

Over 2.5 goals50.1%

Over 3.5 goals28.1%

Both teams to score32.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

89.4%

Away Over 0.5

89.4%

Under 4.5 Goals

86.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)94.3%

Draw No Bet - Away93.3%

Home or Away (12)84.7%

Away Win79.0%

Both Halves Over 0.554.0%

Goal in Both Halves54.0%

Home or Draw (1X)20.9%

Exactly 1 Goal18.4%

Draw15.3%

Draw No Bet - Home6.7%

Home Win5.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals94.5%

Over 0.5 Goals93.1%

Under 4.5 Goals86.6%

Over 1.5 Goals74.7%

Under 3.5 Goals71.9%

1-3 Goals65.0%

2-4 Goals61.4%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Over 2.5 Goals50.1%

Under 2.5 Goals49.9%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

2-3 Goals46.6%

1-2 Goals43.0%

3-4 Goals36.7%

Over 3.5 Goals28.1%

4+ Goals28.1%

Under 1.5 Goals25.3%

Exactly 2 Goals24.6%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

Over 4.5 Goals13.4%

Under 0.5 Goals6.9%

Exactly 0 Goals6.8%

Over 5.5 Goals5.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score89.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)68.7%

Away Clean Sheet65.0%

Away Win to Nil58.1%

Home Team to Score35.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)31.3%

Home Clean Sheet10.5%

Home Win to Nil3.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.589.4%

Away Over 1.565.7%

Home Exactly 065.0%

Away Over 2.539.0%

Away 3+ Goals39.0%

Home Over 0.535.0%

Home Exactly 128.0%

Away Exactly 226.7%

Away Exactly 123.7%

Away Exactly 010.5%

Home Over 1.57.0%

Home Exactly 26.0%

Home Over 2.51.0%

Home 3+ Goals1.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)94.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away94.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home94.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)85.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home85.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)79.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)68.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home68.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)54.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away54.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)45.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home45.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)31.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away31.2%

Away to win by 3+31.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.2%

Away to win by 124.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw23.7%

Away to win by 223.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)20.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home20.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw16.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)14.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away14.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw8.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)5.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away5.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw4.6%

Home to win by 14.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away2.0%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.9%

Home to win by 20.9%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS58.1%

Away & Over 2.546.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.543.2%

Away & Under 2.532.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.525.5%

BTTS & Over 2.524.7%

Away & BTTS20.9%

Draw & Under 2.513.5%

Draw & BTTS8.4%

BTTS & Under 2.56.6%

Home & No BTTS3.7%

Home & Under 2.53.6%

Home & Over 2.52.0%

Home & BTTS1.9%

Draw & Over 2.51.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.570.1%

HT Under 1.566.0%

HT Away Win56.9%

HT/FT Away/Away54.4%

2nd Half More Goals43.4%

HT Draw36.1%

HT Over 1.534.0%

1st Half More Goals31.0%

HT Under 0.529.9%

Equal Goals Each Half25.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away22.7%

HT Both Teams Score11.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.9%

HT Home Win7.0%

HT/FT Home/Home2.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home2.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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