UEFA Champions League

Olympiakos Piraeus vs NEC Nijmegen

Kick-off 19:00 · Tue, Aug 4

📊 Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

45% confidence

Olympiakos Piraeus 30.0% Draw 25.0% NEC Nijmegen 45.0%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

High scoring

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

75%

Away Win

NEC Nijmegen stronger

70%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Olympiakos Piraeus lacks historical data, while NEC Nijmegen shows a strong away record. With Dusan Tadić on board, NEC Nijmegen's attacking threat increases. Olympiakos Piraeus may struggle to contain them. The pi-ratings suggest NEC Nijmegen is stronger. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring potential of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 1

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 1.5 Goals is rated at 88.1% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring

Numbers behind this Over 1.5 Goals

Over 1.5 Goals probability

88.1%

Chance of 2+ total goals

NEC Nijmegen high-scoring games

33.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Olympiakos Piraeus

No recent results stored yet

NEC Nijmegen

W L D D D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Olympiakos Piraeus win30.0%

Draw25.0%

NEC Nijmegen win45.0%

Over 1.5 goals88.1%

Over 2.5 goals69.5%

Over 3.5 goals47.5%

Both teams to score69.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

88.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

88.0%

Over 1.5 Goals

86.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.2%

Both Halves Over 0.568.5%

Goal in Both Halves68.5%

Draw or Away (X2)67.8%

Draw No Bet - Away58.8%

Home or Draw (1X)54.0%

Away Win46.0%

Draw No Bet - Home41.2%

Home Win32.2%

Draw21.8%

Exactly 1 Goal10.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals86.9%

Under 5.5 Goals85.1%

Under 4.5 Goals71.5%

Over 2.5 Goals68.9%

2-4 Goals58.5%

Under 3.5 Goals52.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

1-3 Goals49.6%

Over 3.5 Goals47.5%

4+ Goals47.5%

3-4 Goals40.4%

2-3 Goals39.5%

Under 2.5 Goals31.1%

Over 4.5 Goals28.5%

1-2 Goals28.2%

Exactly 3 Goals21.4%

Exactly 2 Goals18.1%

Over 5.5 Goals14.9%

Under 1.5 Goals13.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals2.9%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score85.7%

Home Team to Score79.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)31.5%

Away Clean Sheet20.0%

Away Win to Nil17.2%

Home Clean Sheet14.3%

Home Win to Nil11.4%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.585.7%

Home Over 0.579.9%

Away Over 1.557.9%

Home Over 1.547.7%

Home Exactly 132.2%

Away Over 2.530.9%

Away 3+ Goals30.9%

Away Exactly 127.8%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 225.9%

Home Over 2.521.8%

Home 3+ Goals21.8%

Home Exactly 020.0%

Away Exactly 014.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home88.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)84.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away84.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)67.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away67.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)54.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home54.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)46.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)32.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.2%

Away to win by 120.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.7%

Home to win by 116.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home15.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw13.8%

Away to win by 213.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)11.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away11.9%

Away to win by 3+11.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw9.4%

Home to win by 29.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.1%

Home to win by 3+6.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away4.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw3.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.559.6%

Away & Over 2.535.0%

Away & BTTS28.8%

Home & Over 2.523.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.1%

Home & BTTS20.8%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

Away & No BTTS17.2%

Draw & Under 2.511.8%

Home & No BTTS11.4%

Away & Under 2.511.0%

Draw & Over 2.510.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.3%

BTTS & Under 2.59.0%

Home & Under 2.58.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.8%

HT Under 1.552.5%

HT Over 1.547.5%

2nd Half More Goals46.3%

HT Away Win36.8%

HT Draw35.2%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT Both Teams Score30.0%

HT/FT Away/Away28.7%

HT Home Win28.0%

Equal Goals Each Half21.8%

HT Under 0.520.2%

HT/FT Home/Home19.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away13.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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