UEFA Europa League

Omonia Nicosia vs Benfica

Kick-off 20:00 · Thu, Oct 22

📊 Our Prediction

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

67% confidence

Omonia Nicosia 9.5% Draw 23.7% Benfica 66.8%

Over 2.5 - 43% BTTS - 38%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Away Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 16.6%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Benfica: 7 points versus 15 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.10 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

16.6%

Exact-score model probability

Omonia Nicosia

L W D L W

Form 2-1-2 Goals 3:3 Scored/game 0.6 Conceded/game 0.6

Benfica

W L W W W W

Form 5-0-1 Goals 15:5 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Omonia Nicosia win9.5%

Draw23.7%

Benfica win66.8%

Over 1.5 goals70.4%

Over 2.5 goals43.1%

Over 3.5 goals22.2%

Both teams to score37.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 0.5 Goals

90.9%

Under 4.5 Goals

90.4%

Draw or Away (X2)

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)89.3%

Draw No Bet - Away86.4%

Home or Away (12)78.8%

Away Win68.1%

Both Halves Over 0.548.4%

Goal in Both Halves48.4%

Home or Draw (1X)31.9%

Exactly 1 Goal21.7%

Draw21.2%

Draw No Bet - Home13.6%

Home Win10.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.4%

Over 0.5 Goals90.9%

Under 4.5 Goals90.4%

Under 3.5 Goals77.8%

Over 1.5 Goals69.2%

1-3 Goals68.8%

2-4 Goals59.6%

Under 2.5 Goals56.9%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals47.9%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals43.1%

3-4 Goals33.5%

Under 1.5 Goals30.8%

Exactly 2 Goals26.1%

Over 3.5 Goals22.2%

4+ Goals22.2%

Exactly 3 Goals20.9%

Over 4.5 Goals9.6%

Under 0.5 Goals9.1%

Exactly 0 Goals9.1%

Over 5.5 Goals3.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score84.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)63.7%

Away Clean Sheet56.8%

Away Win to Nil47.7%

Home Team to Score43.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)36.3%

Home Clean Sheet15.9%

Home Win to Nil6.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.584.0%

Home Exactly 056.8%

Away Over 1.554.8%

Home Over 0.543.2%

Home Exactly 132.1%

Away Exactly 129.3%

Away Over 2.527.9%

Away 3+ Goals27.9%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 015.9%

Home Over 1.511.1%

Home Exactly 29.1%

Home Over 2.52.0%

Home 3+ Goals2.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.6%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away97.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home92.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)89.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away89.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home80.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)68.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)58.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home58.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)41.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away41.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)31.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home31.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw26.9%

Away to win by 126.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw21.3%

Away to win by 221.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)19.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away19.9%

Away to win by 3+19.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw8.3%

Home to win by 18.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)7.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away7.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw5.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home2.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw2.0%

Home to win by 22.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.4%

Home to win by 3+0.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS47.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.547.5%

Away & Over 2.536.2%

Away & Under 2.531.9%

BTTS & Over 2.526.9%

Away & BTTS20.3%

Draw & Under 2.518.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.516.2%

Draw & BTTS12.2%

BTTS & Under 2.59.4%

Home & No BTTS6.9%

Home & Under 2.56.6%

Home & Over 2.54.1%

Home & BTTS3.8%

Draw & Over 2.52.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.570.6%

HT Over 0.566.1%

HT Away Win47.7%

HT/FT Away/Away44.0%

2nd Half More Goals42.1%

HT Draw41.5%

HT Under 0.533.9%

1st Half More Goals30.5%

HT Over 1.529.4%

Equal Goals Each Half27.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away22.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.8%

HT Both Teams Score12.6%

HT Home Win10.9%

HT/FT Home/Home5.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home4.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.2%

HT/FT Home/Away2.1%

HT/FT Away/Home0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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