UEFA Europa League

Omonia Nicosia vs Celta Vigo

Kick-off 17:45 · Wed, Sep 16

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Omonia Nicosia 24.8% Draw 52.8% Celta Vigo 22.4%

Over 2.5 - 6% BTTS - 13%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

87%

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 42.7%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Omonia Nicosia: 7 points versus 4 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.10 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

42.7%

Exact-score model probability

Omonia Nicosia

L W D L W

Form 2-1-2 Goals 3:3 Scored/game 0.6 Conceded/game 0.6

Celta Vigo

D D D L L D

Form 0-4-2 Goals 3:6 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Omonia Nicosia win24.8%

Draw52.8%

Celta Vigo win22.4%

Over 1.5 goals21.9%

Over 2.5 goals5.5%

Over 3.5 goals1.1%

Both teams to score13.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

No Both Teams Score (NG)

88.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.5

86.8%

Under 1.5 Goals

79.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)76.6%

Draw or Away (X2)74.2%

Draw No Bet - Home52.4%

Draw50.8%

Home or Away (12)49.2%

Draw No Bet - Away47.6%

Exactly 1 Goal36.3%

Home Win25.8%

Away Win23.4%

Both Halves Over 0.511.9%

Goal in Both Halves11.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals100.0%

Under 4.5 Goals99.8%

Under 3.5 Goals98.9%

Under 2.5 Goals94.5%

Under 1.5 Goals79.1%

Total Goals Even59.1%

Over 0.5 Goals57.3%

1-3 Goals56.1%

1-2 Goals51.8%

Under 0.5 Goals42.7%

Exactly 0 Goals42.7%

Total Goals Odd40.9%

Over 1.5 Goals20.9%

2-4 Goals20.7%

2-3 Goals19.8%

Exactly 2 Goals15.4%

Over 2.5 Goals5.5%

3-4 Goals5.3%

Exactly 3 Goals4.4%

Over 3.5 Goals1.1%

4+ Goals1.1%

Over 4.5 Goals0.2%

Over 5.5 Goals0.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)88.0%

Home Clean Sheet66.5%

Away Clean Sheet64.3%

Home Team to Score35.7%

Away Team to Score33.5%

Home Win to Nil23.8%

Away Win to Nil21.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)12.0%

Team Goals (14)

Away Exactly 066.5%

Home Exactly 064.3%

Home Over 0.535.7%

Away Over 0.533.5%

Home Exactly 128.4%

Away Exactly 127.1%

Home Over 1.57.3%

Away Over 1.56.4%

Home Exactly 26.3%

Away Exactly 25.5%

Home Over 2.51.0%

Home 3+ Goals1.0%

Away Over 2.50.8%

Away 3+ Goals0.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away94.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)76.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home76.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away74.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)25.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.6%

Home to win by 120.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.1%

Away to win by 119.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home5.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.4%

Home to win by 24.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.8%

Away to win by 23.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.7%

Home to win by 3+0.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 3+0.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.586.8%

Draw & Under 2.550.4%

Home & No BTTS23.8%

Home & Under 2.523.1%

Away & No BTTS21.5%

Away & Under 2.521.0%

Draw & BTTS8.1%

BTTS & Under 2.57.7%

BTTS & Over 2.54.3%

Home & Over 2.52.7%

Away & Over 2.52.4%

Home & BTTS2.0%

Away & BTTS1.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.51.2%

Draw & Over 2.50.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.594.3%

HT Draw70.7%

HT Under 0.568.2%

Equal Goals Each Half50.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw46.8%

HT Over 0.531.8%

2nd Half More Goals27.6%

1st Half More Goals21.6%

HT Home Win15.3%

HT Away Win14.0%

HT/FT Home/Home13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.5%

HT/FT Away/Away11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.4%

HT Over 1.55.7%

HT Both Teams Score3.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.0%

HT/FT Away/Home0.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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