UEFA Europa League

Omonia Nicosia vs Lincoln Red Imps FC

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

78% confidence

Omonia Nicosia 40.0% Draw 38.0% Lincoln Red Imps FC 22.0%

Over 2.5 - 22% BTTS - 31%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 2.5 Goals

Low scoring trend

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Home advantage

75%

No Both Teams Score (NG)

Defensive strength

70%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Omonia Nicosia has a slight home advantage with a pi-rating differential of 0.31. Lincoln Red Imps FC has struggled to score away from home, averaging only 0.5 goals per game. Omonia Nicosia's recent form has been inconsistent, but they have a strong defensive record at home. With both teams having a low scoring trend, the match is likely to be a tight affair. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the low scoring trend and defensive strength of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Under 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 20.5%, based on the goal model.

Low scoring trend

Recent form leans to Lincoln Red Imps FC: 4 points versus 6 across the last 3 matches.

Recent scoring profiles suggest a tighter game: the two sides combine for 1.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Under 2.5 Goals

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

20.5%

Exact-score model probability

Omonia Nicosia

D L W

Form 1-1-1 Goals 2:2 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 0.67

Lincoln Red Imps FC

D D L D W

Form 1-3-1 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.2

Head to head · last 1

Omonia Nicosia 0wins ·1 draws ·Lincoln Red Imps FC 0wins

Omonia Nicosia 1-1 Lincoln Red Imps FCAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Omonia Nicosia win40.0%

Draw38.0%

Lincoln Red Imps FC win22.0%

Over 1.5 goals48.7%

Over 2.5 goals21.7%

Over 3.5 goals7.7%

Both teams to score31.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

85.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

85.5%

HT Under 1.5

83.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)74.8%

Home or Away (12)64.9%

Draw No Bet - Home61.1%

Draw or Away (X2)60.3%

Home Win39.7%

Draw No Bet - Away38.9%

Draw35.1%

Exactly 1 Goal32.5%

Both Halves Over 0.529.7%

Goal in Both Halves29.7%

Away Win25.2%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.4%

Under 4.5 Goals97.7%

Under 3.5 Goals92.3%

Over 0.5 Goals79.5%

Under 2.5 Goals78.7%

1-3 Goals71.8%

1-2 Goals58.2%

Under 1.5 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Even52.1%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Over 1.5 Goals47.1%

2-4 Goals44.8%

2-3 Goals39.4%

Exactly 2 Goals25.8%

Over 2.5 Goals21.3%

Under 0.5 Goals20.5%

Exactly 0 Goals20.5%

3-4 Goals19.0%

Exactly 3 Goals13.6%

Over 3.5 Goals7.7%

4+ Goals7.7%

Over 4.5 Goals2.3%

Over 5.5 Goals0.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)70.7%

Home Team to Score60.1%

Home Clean Sheet51.3%

Away Team to Score48.7%

Away Clean Sheet39.9%

Home Win to Nil30.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)29.3%

Away Win to Nil19.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.560.1%

Away Exactly 051.3%

Away Over 0.548.7%

Home Exactly 039.9%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 134.2%

Home Over 1.523.5%

Home Exactly 216.9%

Away Over 1.514.4%

Away Exactly 211.4%

Home Over 2.56.6%

Home 3+ Goals6.6%

Away Over 2.53.0%

Away 3+ Goals3.0%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)96.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away96.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)85.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away85.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home74.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)60.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away60.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)39.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)25.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.2%

Home to win by 125.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.3%

Away to win by 118.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)14.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home14.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.6%

Home to win by 210.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away6.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.6%

Away to win by 25.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home3.9%

Home to win by 3+3.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw3.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.4%

Away to win by 3+1.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.566.1%

Draw & Under 2.533.0%

Home & No BTTS30.9%

Home & Under 2.527.5%

Away & No BTTS19.4%

Away & Under 2.518.2%

BTTS & Over 2.516.7%

Draw & BTTS14.6%

BTTS & Under 2.512.6%

Home & Over 2.512.2%

Home & BTTS8.8%

Away & Over 2.57.0%

Away & BTTS5.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.54.6%

Draw & Over 2.52.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.583.9%

HT Draw55.2%

HT Over 0.551.0%

HT Under 0.549.0%

2nd Half More Goals36.9%

Equal Goals Each Half35.3%

1st Half More Goals27.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw27.6%

HT Home Win26.6%

HT/FT Home/Home22.1%

HT Away Win18.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.5%

HT Over 1.516.1%

HT/FT Away/Away13.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.1%

HT Both Teams Score8.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.8%

HT/FT Away/Home1.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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