USA · Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC vs Chicago Fire

Kick-off 00:30 · Thu, Aug 20

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Orlando City SC 45.9% Draw 24.8% Chicago Fire 29.3%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

59%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.6%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Chicago Fire: 8 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.66 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.6%

Exact-score model probability

Orlando City SC

D L W W L D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 11:11 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.83

Chicago Fire

W W L L W W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Orlando City SC win45.9%

Draw24.8%

Chicago Fire win29.3%

Over 1.5 goals86.2%

Over 2.5 goals65.3%

Over 3.5 goals43.4%

Both teams to score66.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

88.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

88.0%

Under 5.5 Goals

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)77.7%

Home or Draw (1X)69.5%

Both Halves Over 0.565.7%

Goal in Both Halves65.7%

Draw No Bet - Home60.8%

Draw or Away (X2)52.8%

Home Win47.2%

Draw No Bet - Away39.2%

Away Win30.5%

Draw22.3%

Exactly 1 Goal11.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Under 5.5 Goals87.5%

Over 1.5 Goals84.9%

Under 4.5 Goals75.1%

Over 2.5 Goals65.3%

2-4 Goals60.0%

Under 3.5 Goals56.6%

1-3 Goals53.1%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals43.4%

4+ Goals43.4%

2-3 Goals41.5%

3-4 Goals40.4%

Under 2.5 Goals34.7%

1-2 Goals31.2%

Over 4.5 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals21.9%

Exactly 2 Goals19.6%

Under 1.5 Goals15.1%

Over 5.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.8%

Away Team to Score77.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.5%

Home Clean Sheet22.7%

Home Win to Nil19.3%

Away Clean Sheet15.2%

Away Win to Nil11.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.8%

Away Over 0.577.2%

Home Over 1.556.2%

Away Over 1.543.6%

Away Exactly 133.7%

Home Over 2.529.2%

Home 3+ Goals29.2%

Home Exactly 128.6%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 224.9%

Away Exactly 022.7%

Away Over 2.518.6%

Away 3+ Goals18.6%

Home Exactly 015.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)86.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home86.0%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.0%

Home to win by 121.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.5%

Away to win by 116.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.2%

Home to win by 214.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.0%

Home to win by 3+12.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.8%

Away to win by 28.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.2%

Away to win by 3+5.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.555.9%

Home & Over 2.534.5%

Home & BTTS27.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.0%

Away & Over 2.521.6%

Home & No BTTS19.3%

Draw & BTTS18.9%

Away & BTTS18.7%

Draw & Under 2.513.1%

Home & Under 2.512.6%

Away & No BTTS11.7%

BTTS & Under 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.5%

Draw & Over 2.59.2%

Away & Under 2.58.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.0%

HT Under 1.555.3%

2nd Half More Goals45.8%

HT Over 1.544.7%

HT Home Win37.1%

HT Draw36.3%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT/FT Home/Home29.4%

HT Both Teams Score27.8%

HT Away Win26.6%

Equal Goals Each Half22.5%

HT Under 0.522.0%

HT/FT Away/Away17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away2.4%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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