USA · Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC vs Columbus Crew

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Oct 11

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

85% confidence

Orlando City SC 84.7% Draw 8.9% Columbus Crew 6.4%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 74%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.7%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Orlando City SC: 13 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.7%

Exact-score model probability

Orlando City SC

W W W D W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

Columbus Crew

L W L L L L

Form 1-0-5 Goals 9:13 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 2.17

📈 Probability Breakdown

Orlando City SC win84.7%

Draw8.9%

Columbus Crew win6.4%

Over 1.5 goals97.9%

Over 2.5 goals92.0%

Over 3.5 goals81.3%

Both teams to score73.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

90.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home92.8%

Home or Draw (1X)90.3%

Home or Away (12)88.6%

Both Halves Over 0.588.3%

Goal in Both Halves88.3%

Home Win82.2%

Draw or Away (X2)14.6%

Draw8.1%

Draw No Bet - Away7.2%

Away Win6.4%

Exactly 1 Goal1.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.4%

Over 1.5 Goals94.5%

Over 2.5 Goals89.0%

Over 3.5 Goals78.7%

4+ Goals78.7%

Over 4.5 Goals63.9%

Under 5.5 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Even48.4%

Total Goals Odd48.3%

Over 5.5 Goals47.1%

Under 4.5 Goals36.1%

2-4 Goals30.6%

3-4 Goals25.1%

Under 3.5 Goals21.3%

1-3 Goals17.7%

2-3 Goals15.8%

Under 2.5 Goals11.0%

Exactly 3 Goals10.4%

1-2 Goals7.4%

Under 1.5 Goals5.5%

Exactly 2 Goals5.5%

Under 0.5 Goals3.6%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score72.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)71.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)28.9%

Home Clean Sheet24.6%

Home Win to Nil24.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.3%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Home Over 1.589.7%

Home Over 2.577.3%

Home 3+ Goals77.3%

Away Over 0.572.1%

Away Over 1.538.4%

Away Exactly 133.7%

Away Exactly 024.6%

Away Exactly 223.0%

Away Over 2.515.4%

Away 3+ Goals15.4%

Home Exactly 212.4%

Home Exactly 15.7%

Home Exactly 01.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)85.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)82.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)75.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away75.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)69.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home69.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)60.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away60.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)53.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home53.0%

Home to win by 3+53.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)43.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away43.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)36.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home36.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)27.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away27.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home21.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.3%

Home to win by 216.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away14.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.9%

Home to win by 112.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home10.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.1%

Away to win by 14.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.6%

Away to win by 21.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.7%

Away to win by 3+0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.577.6%

BTTS & Over 2.569.1%

Home & BTTS57.9%

Home & No BTTS24.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.9%

Draw & BTTS7.8%

Draw & Over 2.55.8%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.7%

Away & Over 2.55.6%

Away & BTTS5.4%

Home & Under 2.54.6%

Draw & Under 2.52.3%

BTTS & Under 2.52.0%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.3%

HT Over 1.572.5%

HT Home Win69.0%

HT/FT Home/Home65.7%

2nd Half More Goals50.8%

HT Both Teams Score39.4%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.527.5%

HT Draw20.1%

Equal Goals Each Half16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.8%

HT Away Win10.8%

HT Under 0.57.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Away/Away3.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away0.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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