USA · Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC vs FC Cincinnati

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Aug 16

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Orlando City SC 37.0% Draw 19.4% FC Cincinnati 43.6%

Over 2.5 - 88% BTTS - 85%

🎯 Best Pick

Both Teams Score (GG)

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ AIs disagree

63%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-2 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to FC Cincinnati: 8 points versus 11 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

Orlando City SC

L W W L D D

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

FC Cincinnati

W L W W D D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 18:12 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 2

Head to head · last 1

Orlando City SC 0wins ·0 draws ·FC Cincinnati 1wins

Orlando City SC 2-6 FC CincinnatiMay 24, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Orlando City SC win37.0%

Draw19.4%

FC Cincinnati win43.6%

Over 1.5 goals96.6%

Over 2.5 goals87.7%

Over 3.5 goals73.7%

Both teams to score84.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.8%

Home Over 0.5

90.8%

HT Over 0.5

89.6%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.583.9%

Goal in Both Halves83.9%

Home or Away (12)81.5%

Draw or Away (X2)62.3%

Home or Draw (1X)55.7%

Draw No Bet - Away54.0%

Draw No Bet - Home46.0%

Away Win44.0%

Home Win37.5%

Draw18.3%

Exactly 1 Goal3.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.1%

Over 1.5 Goals95.8%

Over 2.5 Goals87.5%

Over 3.5 Goals73.6%

4+ Goals73.6%

Under 5.5 Goals61.5%

Over 4.5 Goals56.1%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals43.9%

2-4 Goals39.7%

Over 5.5 Goals38.5%

3-4 Goals31.4%

Under 3.5 Goals26.4%

1-3 Goals25.5%

2-3 Goals22.2%

Exactly 3 Goals13.9%

Under 2.5 Goals12.5%

1-2 Goals11.6%

Exactly 2 Goals8.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.2%

Under 0.5 Goals0.9%

Exactly 0 Goals0.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score92.4%

Home Team to Score90.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)84.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)15.9%

Away Clean Sheet8.9%

Away Win to Nil8.3%

Home Clean Sheet7.4%

Home Win to Nil6.7%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.592.4%

Home Over 0.590.8%

Away Over 1.573.2%

Home Over 1.569.3%

Away Over 2.548.1%

Away 3+ Goals48.1%

Home Over 2.543.3%

Home 3+ Goals43.3%

Home Exactly 226.0%

Away Exactly 225.0%

Home Exactly 121.5%

Away Exactly 119.2%

Home Exactly 08.9%

Away Exactly 07.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home97.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home93.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)88.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away88.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home85.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)78.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away78.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)72.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home72.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)62.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away62.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)55.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home55.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)44.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)37.5%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)27.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away27.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)21.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home21.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.9%

Away to win by 116.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.7%

Home to win by 115.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away14.4%

Away to win by 3+14.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.7%

Away to win by 212.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.9%

Home to win by 210.9%

Home to win by 3+10.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw7.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)6.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away6.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw4.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away2.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.580.0%

Away & Over 2.540.1%

Away & BTTS35.8%

Home & Over 2.534.0%

Home & BTTS30.8%

Draw & BTTS17.6%

Draw & Over 2.513.4%

Away & No BTTS8.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.58.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.5%

Home & No BTTS6.7%

Draw & Under 2.54.8%

BTTS & Under 2.54.2%

Away & Under 2.54.0%

Home & Under 2.53.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.589.6%

HT Over 1.566.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.7%

HT Both Teams Score45.8%

HT Away Win37.8%

HT Under 1.534.0%

HT Home Win33.5%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw28.6%

HT/FT Away/Away28.3%

HT/FT Home/Home23.5%

Equal Goals Each Half17.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.4%

HT Under 0.510.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home10.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.3%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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