USA · Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

58% confidence

Orlando City SC 58.1% Draw 22.4% New York City FC 19.5%

Over 2.5 - 67% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

81%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Orlando City SC: 13 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.6%

Exact-score model probability

Orlando City SC

W W W D W L

Form 4-1-1 Goals 13:8 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 1.33

New York City FC

W L D D D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Orlando City SC win58.1%

Draw22.4%

New York City FC win19.5%

Over 1.5 goals86.7%

Over 2.5 goals66.5%

Over 3.5 goals44.7%

Both teams to score64.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.9%

Home or Draw (1X)79.3%

Draw No Bet - Home74.1%

Both Halves Over 0.566.7%

Goal in Both Halves66.7%

Home Win59.2%

Draw or Away (X2)40.8%

Draw No Bet - Away25.9%

Away Win20.7%

Draw20.1%

Exactly 1 Goal11.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.7%

Under 5.5 Goals86.8%

Over 1.5 Goals85.6%

Under 4.5 Goals74.0%

Over 2.5 Goals66.5%

2-4 Goals59.5%

Under 3.5 Goals55.3%

1-3 Goals52.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals44.7%

4+ Goals44.7%

2-3 Goals40.9%

3-4 Goals40.5%

Under 2.5 Goals33.5%

1-2 Goals30.2%

Over 4.5 Goals26.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Exactly 2 Goals19.1%

Under 1.5 Goals14.4%

Over 5.5 Goals13.2%

Under 0.5 Goals3.3%

Exactly 0 Goals3.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.8%

Away Team to Score70.8%

Both Teams Score (GG)62.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)37.1%

Home Clean Sheet29.2%

Home Win to Nil25.9%

Away Clean Sheet11.1%

Away Win to Nil7.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.8%

Away Over 0.570.8%

Home Over 1.564.4%

Home Over 2.537.5%

Home 3+ Goals37.5%

Away Exactly 135.9%

Away Over 1.534.9%

Away Exactly 029.2%

Home Exactly 226.8%

Home Exactly 124.5%

Away Exactly 222.1%

Away Over 2.512.7%

Away 3+ Goals12.7%

Home Exactly 011.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away91.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)80.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away80.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)79.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home79.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)63.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away63.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)59.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)40.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away40.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)36.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home36.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw22.2%

Home to win by 122.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)20.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)19.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home19.2%

Home to win by 3+19.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.7%

Home to win by 217.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw12.5%

Away to win by 112.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw10.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home8.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.6%

Away to win by 25.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw5.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.6%

Away to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.554.1%

Home & Over 2.544.2%

Home & BTTS33.3%

Home & No BTTS25.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.524.7%

Draw & BTTS16.8%

Home & Under 2.515.0%

Away & Over 2.514.2%

Away & BTTS12.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.4%

Draw & Under 2.512.0%

BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Draw & Over 2.58.1%

Away & No BTTS7.9%

Away & Under 2.56.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.578.6%

HT Under 1.554.4%

2nd Half More Goals46.0%

HT Over 1.545.6%

HT Home Win45.0%

HT/FT Home/Home38.6%

HT Draw34.8%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

HT Both Teams Score26.7%

Equal Goals Each Half22.2%

HT Under 0.521.4%

HT Away Win20.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.0%

HT/FT Away/Away11.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away7.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Home/Away1.7%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners99.5%

Under 10.5 Corners98.6%

Under 9.5 Corners96.8%

Under 8.5 Corners93.2%

Away Most Corners58.5%

Home Most Corners24.7%

Away Over 4.5 Corners18.5%

Over 8.5 Corners6.8%

Home Over 4.5 Corners5.3%

Over 9.5 Corners3.2%

Over 10.5 Corners1.4%

Over 11.5 Corners0.5%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards80.7%

Under 5.5 Cards73.1%

Over 3.5 Cards62.9%

Under 4.5 Cards56.4%

Over 4.5 Cards43.6%

Under 3.5 Cards37.1%

Over 5.5 Cards26.9%

Under 2.5 Cards19.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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