USA · Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC vs Real Salt Lake

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Aug 23

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Orlando City SC 48.4% Draw 22.9% Real Salt Lake 28.7%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

77%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 8.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Orlando City SC: 7 points versus 3 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.6%

Exact-score model probability

Orlando City SC

L D L W W L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:12 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2

Real Salt Lake

L D D L L D

Form 0-3-3 Goals 8:12 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Orlando City SC win48.4%

Draw22.9%

Real Salt Lake win28.7%

Over 1.5 goals90.0%

Over 2.5 goals72.5%

Over 3.5 goals51.9%

Both teams to score72.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

88.9%

Home Team to Score

88.1%

Home Over 0.5

88.1%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)79.2%

Both Halves Over 0.571.3%

Goal in Both Halves71.3%

Home or Draw (1X)70.2%

Draw No Bet - Home62.4%

Draw or Away (X2)50.5%

Home Win49.4%

Draw No Bet - Away37.6%

Away Win29.7%

Draw20.8%

Exactly 1 Goal8.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.6%

Over 1.5 Goals88.9%

Under 5.5 Goals82.1%

Over 2.5 Goals72.5%

Under 4.5 Goals67.5%

2-4 Goals56.4%

Over 3.5 Goals51.9%

4+ Goals51.9%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Under 3.5 Goals48.1%

1-3 Goals45.7%

3-4 Goals40.0%

2-3 Goals37.0%

Over 4.5 Goals32.5%

Under 2.5 Goals27.5%

1-2 Goals25.1%

Exactly 3 Goals20.6%

Over 5.5 Goals17.9%

Exactly 2 Goals16.4%

Under 1.5 Goals11.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score88.1%

Away Team to Score80.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.1%

Home Clean Sheet19.5%

Home Win to Nil17.2%

Away Clean Sheet11.8%

Away Win to Nil9.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.588.1%

Away Over 0.580.4%

Home Over 1.562.9%

Away Over 1.548.5%

Home Over 2.535.9%

Home 3+ Goals35.9%

Away Exactly 131.9%

Home Exactly 226.9%

Away Exactly 226.0%

Home Exactly 125.3%

Away Over 2.522.5%

Away 3+ Goals22.5%

Away Exactly 019.5%

Home Exactly 011.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)94.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away94.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)70.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home70.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)50.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away50.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)49.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)29.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 120.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.5%

Away to win by 115.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.8%

Home to win by 214.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.4%

Home to win by 3+14.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.6%

Away to win by 28.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.6%

Away to win by 3+5.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.562.8%

Home & Over 2.539.2%

Home & BTTS32.2%

Away & Over 2.522.9%

Away & BTTS20.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.4%

Draw & BTTS18.5%

Home & No BTTS17.2%

Draw & Over 2.510.4%

Draw & Under 2.510.4%

Home & Under 2.510.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.7%

Away & No BTTS9.5%

BTTS & Under 2.58.1%

Away & Under 2.56.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.6%

HT Over 1.550.5%

HT Under 1.549.5%

2nd Half More Goals46.9%

HT Home Win39.4%

HT Draw33.8%

HT Both Teams Score32.1%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT/FT Home/Home31.4%

HT Away Win26.8%

Equal Goals Each Half21.1%

HT Under 0.518.4%

HT/FT Away/Away17.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Home/Away2.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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