USA · Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC vs San Diego

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 6

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

41% confidence

Orlando City SC 40.8% Draw 24.1% San Diego 35.1%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 71%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 8.8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to San Diego: 8 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.34 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

8.8%

Exact-score model probability

Orlando City SC

D W L D L W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

San Diego

W W L W D W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Orlando City SC win40.8%

Draw24.1%

San Diego win35.1%

Over 1.5 goals88.7%

Over 2.5 goals70.0%

Over 3.5 goals48.8%

Both teams to score70.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

89.8%

Over 1.5 Goals

87.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.1%

Both Halves Over 0.569.3%

Goal in Both Halves69.3%

Home or Draw (1X)63.8%

Draw or Away (X2)58.0%

Draw No Bet - Home53.7%

Draw No Bet - Away46.3%

Home Win42.0%

Away Win36.2%

Draw21.8%

Exactly 1 Goal9.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.5%

Under 5.5 Goals84.2%

Under 4.5 Goals70.4%

Over 2.5 Goals69.9%

2-4 Goals57.9%

Under 3.5 Goals51.2%

Total Goals Odd50.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Over 3.5 Goals48.8%

4+ Goals48.8%

1-3 Goals48.5%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.8%

Under 2.5 Goals30.1%

Over 4.5 Goals29.6%

1-2 Goals27.3%

Exactly 3 Goals21.2%

Exactly 2 Goals17.6%

Over 5.5 Goals15.8%

Under 1.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score84.7%

Away Team to Score82.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)69.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)30.2%

Home Clean Sheet17.6%

Away Clean Sheet15.3%

Home Win to Nil14.9%

Away Win to Nil12.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.584.7%

Away Over 0.582.3%

Home Over 1.556.0%

Away Over 1.551.7%

Away Exactly 130.6%

Home Over 2.529.0%

Home 3+ Goals29.0%

Home Exactly 128.7%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 226.5%

Away Over 2.525.2%

Away 3+ Goals25.2%

Away Exactly 017.6%

Home Exactly 015.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.6%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)89.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away89.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)81.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home81.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)77.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away77.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)63.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home63.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)42.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)36.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)22.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home22.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 119.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)18.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away18.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw17.8%

Away to win by 117.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.6%

Home to win by 212.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.7%

Away to win by 210.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)10.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home10.2%

Home to win by 3+10.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.7%

Away to win by 3+7.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.561.0%

Home & Over 2.532.2%

Away & Over 2.527.4%

Home & BTTS27.0%

Away & BTTS23.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.2%

Draw & BTTS19.1%

Home & No BTTS14.9%

Away & No BTTS12.6%

Draw & Under 2.511.5%

Draw & Over 2.510.4%

Home & Under 2.59.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%

BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Away & Under 2.58.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.3%

HT Under 1.551.6%

HT Over 1.548.4%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

HT Draw35.0%

HT Home Win34.4%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score30.9%

HT Away Win30.7%

HT/FT Home/Home25.9%

HT/FT Away/Away21.9%

Equal Goals Each Half21.6%

HT Under 0.519.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw10.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.0%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners81.1%

Under 10.5 Corners71.6%

Under 9.5 Corners59.8%

Away Most Corners59.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners57.4%

Over 8.5 Corners53.3%

Under 8.5 Corners46.7%

Over 9.5 Corners40.2%

Home Over 4.5 Corners33.9%

Over 10.5 Corners28.4%

Home Most Corners27.7%

Over 11.5 Corners18.9%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards79.1%

Under 5.5 Cards75.2%

Over 3.5 Cards60.6%

Under 4.5 Cards58.8%

Over 4.5 Cards41.2%

Under 3.5 Cards39.4%

Over 5.5 Cards24.8%

Under 2.5 Cards20.9%

Over 0.5 Red Cards16.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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