USA · Major League Soccer

Orlando City SC vs Toronto FC

Kick-off 00:30 · Sun, Sep 13

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Orlando City SC 46.3% Draw 24.3% Toronto FC 29.4%

Over 2.5 - 68% BTTS - 69%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

88%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

69%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Toronto FC: 11 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Orlando City SC

W W D W L D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Toronto FC

W D D W D W

Form 3-3-0 Goals 14:11 Scored/game 2.33 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Orlando City SC win46.3%

Draw24.3%

Toronto FC win29.4%

Over 1.5 goals87.5%

Over 2.5 goals67.6%

Over 3.5 goals46.0%

Both teams to score68.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

87.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

87.5%

Over 1.5 Goals

86.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)78.1%

Home or Draw (1X)69.4%

Both Halves Over 0.567.5%

Goal in Both Halves67.5%

Draw No Bet - Home60.8%

Draw or Away (X2)52.5%

Home Win47.5%

Draw No Bet - Away39.2%

Away Win30.6%

Draw21.9%

Exactly 1 Goal10.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.9%

Over 1.5 Goals86.2%

Under 5.5 Goals86.0%

Under 4.5 Goals72.8%

Over 2.5 Goals67.6%

2-4 Goals59.1%

Under 3.5 Goals54.0%

1-3 Goals50.9%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals46.0%

4+ Goals46.0%

3-4 Goals40.5%

2-3 Goals40.2%

Under 2.5 Goals32.4%

1-2 Goals29.3%

Over 4.5 Goals27.2%

Exactly 3 Goals21.6%

Exactly 2 Goals18.6%

Over 5.5 Goals14.0%

Under 1.5 Goals13.8%

Under 0.5 Goals3.1%

Exactly 0 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score85.7%

Away Team to Score78.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.7%

Home Clean Sheet21.5%

Home Win to Nil18.5%

Away Clean Sheet14.2%

Away Win to Nil11.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.585.7%

Away Over 0.578.5%

Home Over 1.558.0%

Away Over 1.545.4%

Away Exactly 133.1%

Home Over 2.531.0%

Home 3+ Goals31.0%

Home Exactly 127.7%

Home Exactly 227.0%

Away Exactly 225.4%

Away Exactly 021.5%

Away Over 2.520.0%

Away 3+ Goals20.0%

Home Exactly 014.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)87.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away87.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)85.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home85.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)73.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away73.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)26.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home26.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.7%

Home to win by 120.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw16.3%

Away to win by 116.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)14.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away14.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.3%

Home to win by 214.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)12.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home12.5%

Home to win by 3+12.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.9%

Away to win by 28.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw7.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.4%

Away to win by 3+5.4%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw3.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.558.1%

Home & Over 2.535.7%

Home & BTTS29.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.2%

Away & Over 2.522.3%

Away & BTTS19.4%

Draw & BTTS18.8%

Home & No BTTS18.5%

Draw & Under 2.512.2%

Home & Under 2.511.8%

Away & No BTTS11.2%

Draw & Over 2.59.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.5%

BTTS & Under 2.59.2%

Away & Under 2.58.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.579.2%

HT Under 1.553.5%

HT Over 1.546.5%

2nd Half More Goals46.1%

HT Home Win37.6%

HT Draw35.5%

1st Half More Goals31.9%

HT/FT Home/Home29.7%

HT Both Teams Score29.2%

HT Away Win26.9%

Equal Goals Each Half22.0%

HT Under 0.520.8%

HT/FT Away/Away18.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away10.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

Corners (12)

Under 11.5 Corners83.4%

Under 10.5 Corners74.5%

Under 9.5 Corners63.1%

Away Most Corners56.6%

Away Over 4.5 Corners53.0%

Over 8.5 Corners50.0%

Under 8.5 Corners50.0%

Over 9.5 Corners36.9%

Home Over 4.5 Corners33.9%

Home Most Corners30.4%

Over 10.5 Corners25.5%

Over 11.5 Corners16.6%

Cards (9)

Under 5.5 Cards85.8%

Under 4.5 Cards72.5%

Over 2.5 Cards67.9%

Under 3.5 Cards53.7%

Over 3.5 Cards46.3%

Under 2.5 Cards32.1%

Over 4.5 Cards27.5%

Over 5.5 Cards14.2%

Over 0.5 Red Cards14.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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