Spain · La Liga

Osasuna vs Athletic Club

Kick-off 18:30 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

36% confidence

Osasuna 34.7% Draw 29.2% Athletic Club 36.1%

Over 2.5 - 41% BTTS - 55%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

87%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

71%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-1 at 13%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Athletic Club: 4 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Osasuna 0 wins, 3 draws, Athletic Club 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13%

Exact-score model probability

Osasuna

L L W L D L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 5:14 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 2.33

Athletic Club

W W L D D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:5 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.83

Head to head · last 5

Osasuna 0wins ·3 draws ·Athletic Club 2wins

Osasuna 0-1 Athletic ClubApr 21, 2026

Osasuna 1-1 Athletic ClubJan 3, 2026

Osasuna 0-0 Athletic ClubMar 30, 2025

Osasuna 1-2 Athletic ClubDec 21, 2024

Osasuna 2-2 Athletic ClubMay 11, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Osasuna win34.7%

Draw29.2%

Athletic Club win36.1%

Over 1.5 goals67.7%

Over 2.5 goals40.7%

Over 3.5 goals20.3%

Both teams to score54.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

91.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

91.6%

Over 0.5 Goals

91.3%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)75.8%

Home or Away (12)73.8%

Draw No Bet - Away67.2%

Home or Draw (1X)50.4%

Away Win49.6%

Both Halves Over 0.549.2%

Goal in Both Halves49.2%

Draw No Bet - Home32.8%

Draw26.2%

Home Win24.2%

Exactly 1 Goal21.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.2%

Over 0.5 Goals91.3%

Under 4.5 Goals89.9%

Under 3.5 Goals77.0%

Over 1.5 Goals70.0%

1-3 Goals68.3%

2-4 Goals59.9%

Under 2.5 Goals55.9%

Total Goals Even50.4%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

1-2 Goals47.2%

2-3 Goals47.0%

Over 2.5 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals34.0%

Under 1.5 Goals30.0%

Exactly 2 Goals25.9%

Over 3.5 Goals23.0%

4+ Goals23.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Over 4.5 Goals10.1%

Under 0.5 Goals8.7%

Exactly 0 Goals8.7%

Over 5.5 Goals3.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score77.4%

Home Team to Score61.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)52.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)47.6%

Away Clean Sheet38.6%

Away Win to Nil29.8%

Home Clean Sheet22.6%

Home Win to Nil13.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.577.4%

Home Over 0.561.4%

Away Over 1.543.8%

Home Exactly 038.6%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Away Exactly 133.6%

Away Exactly 225.0%

Home Over 1.524.7%

Away Exactly 022.6%

Away Over 2.518.8%

Away 3+ Goals18.8%

Home Exactly 217.5%

Home Over 2.57.2%

Home 3+ Goals7.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.5%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)91.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away91.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)75.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away75.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home75.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)50.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home50.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)49.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw24.6%

Away to win by 124.6%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)24.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.8%

Home to win by 115.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.1%

Away to win by 215.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.9%

Away to win by 3+9.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)8.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home8.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.2%

Home to win by 26.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.3%

Home to win by 3+2.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.543.6%

BTTS & Over 2.535.2%

Away & No BTTS29.8%

Away & Over 2.527.0%

Away & Under 2.522.6%

Draw & Under 2.521.1%

Away & BTTS19.8%

Draw & BTTS17.5%

Home & No BTTS13.9%

BTTS & Under 2.512.4%

Home & Under 2.512.3%

Home & Over 2.511.9%

Home & BTTS10.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.9%

Draw & Over 2.55.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.570.0%

HT Over 0.566.6%

HT Draw43.6%

2nd Half More Goals42.3%

HT Away Win36.0%

HT Under 0.533.4%

1st Half More Goals30.6%

HT Over 1.530.0%

HT/FT Away/Away30.0%

Equal Goals Each Half27.1%

HT Home Win20.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.3%

HT Both Teams Score17.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw16.8%

HT/FT Home/Home13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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