Spain · La Liga

Osasuna vs Espanyol

Kick-off 15:15 · Sat, Sep 12

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Osasuna 48.9% Draw 26.5% Espanyol 24.6%

Over 2.5 - 44% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

77%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 11.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Espanyol: 7 points versus 8 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Osasuna 1 wins, 2 draws, Espanyol 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

11.9%

Exact-score model probability

Osasuna

L W W D L L

Form 2-1-3 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Espanyol

D L L W D W

Form 2-2-2 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 5

Osasuna 1wins ·2 draws ·Espanyol 2wins

Osasuna 1-2 EspanyolMay 17, 2026

Osasuna 0-1 EspanyolAug 31, 2025

Osasuna 2-0 EspanyolMay 18, 2025

Osasuna 0-0 EspanyolDec 14, 2024

Osasuna 1-1 EspanyolFeb 4, 2023

📈 Probability Breakdown

Osasuna win48.9%

Draw26.5%

Espanyol win24.6%

Over 1.5 goals69.7%

Over 2.5 goals43.6%

Over 3.5 goals22.6%

Both teams to score69.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

84.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

83.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

83.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)74.8%

Home or Draw (1X)64.1%

Draw or Away (X2)61.2%

Both Halves Over 0.556.4%

Goal in Both Halves56.4%

Draw No Bet - Home51.9%

Draw No Bet - Away48.1%

Home Win38.8%

Away Win35.9%

Draw25.2%

Exactly 1 Goal17.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals93.9%

Under 5.5 Goals93.5%

Under 4.5 Goals84.7%

Over 1.5 Goals77.0%

Under 3.5 Goals69.1%

1-3 Goals63.0%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals53.1%

Total Goals Even50.2%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

Under 2.5 Goals46.9%

2-3 Goals46.1%

1-2 Goals40.8%

3-4 Goals37.9%

Over 3.5 Goals30.9%

4+ Goals30.9%

Exactly 2 Goals23.8%

Under 1.5 Goals23.0%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals15.3%

Over 5.5 Goals6.5%

Under 0.5 Goals6.1%

Exactly 0 Goals6.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score76.2%

Away Team to Score74.6%

Both Teams Score (GG)56.8%

No Both Teams Score (NG)43.2%

Home Clean Sheet25.4%

Away Clean Sheet23.8%

Home Win to Nil19.4%

Away Win to Nil17.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.576.2%

Away Over 0.574.6%

Home Over 1.542.0%

Away Over 1.539.8%

Away Exactly 134.8%

Home Exactly 134.2%

Away Exactly 025.4%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 023.8%

Away Exactly 223.8%

Home Over 2.517.5%

Home 3+ Goals17.5%

Away Over 2.515.9%

Away 3+ Goals15.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)94.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home94.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)64.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home64.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)61.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away61.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)38.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)35.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.5%

Home to win by 120.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw19.6%

Away to win by 119.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.3%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw11.4%

Home to win by 211.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.5%

Away to win by 210.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.9%

Home to win by 3+6.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)5.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away5.9%

Away to win by 3+5.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.544.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.535.0%

Home & Over 2.523.9%

Away & Over 2.521.9%

Home & BTTS19.5%

Home & No BTTS19.4%

Draw & BTTS19.2%

Away & BTTS18.1%

Draw & Under 2.518.0%

Away & No BTTS17.8%

Home & Under 2.514.9%

Away & Under 2.514.0%

BTTS & Under 2.511.9%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.2%

Draw & Over 2.57.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.571.7%

HT Under 1.564.0%

2nd Half More Goals43.8%

HT Draw40.7%

HT Over 1.536.0%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT Home Win30.5%

HT Away Win28.7%

HT Under 0.528.3%

Equal Goals Each Half25.0%

HT/FT Home/Home23.0%

HT Both Teams Score21.9%

HT/FT Away/Away21.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw14.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away12.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.3%

HT/FT Away/Home2.4%

HT/FT Home/Away2.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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