Spain · La Liga

Osasuna vs Getafe

Kick-off 18:30 · Mon, Aug 31

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Osasuna 44.4% Draw 31.9% Getafe 23.8%

Over 2.5 - 27% BTTS - 36%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

64%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 13.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Getafe: 4 points versus 12 across the last 6 matches.

Head-to-head record: Osasuna 2 wins, 1 draws, Getafe 2 wins in the last 5 meetings.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

13.1%

Exact-score model probability

Osasuna

W D L L L L

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:9 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

Getafe

W W L W L W

Form 4-0-2 Goals 8:6 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 5

Osasuna 2wins ·1 draws ·Getafe 2wins

Osasuna 0-1 GetafeMay 23, 2026

Osasuna 2-1 GetafeOct 3, 2025

Osasuna 1-2 GetafeMar 16, 2025

Osasuna 1-1 GetafeOct 5, 2024

Osasuna 3-2 GetafeJan 21, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Osasuna win44.4%

Draw31.9%

Getafe win23.8%

Over 1.5 goals53.8%

Over 2.5 goals27.1%

Over 3.5 goals10.9%

Both teams to score36.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.5%

Over 0.5 Goals

90.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

88.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)72.0%

Home or Draw (1X)69.7%

Draw or Away (X2)58.3%

Draw No Bet - Home57.9%

Both Halves Over 0.546.6%

Goal in Both Halves46.6%

Draw No Bet - Away42.1%

Home Win41.7%

Away Win30.3%

Draw28.0%

Exactly 1 Goal22.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.9%

Under 4.5 Goals91.5%

Over 0.5 Goals90.1%

Under 3.5 Goals79.7%

1-3 Goals69.8%

Over 1.5 Goals67.2%

Under 2.5 Goals59.2%

2-4 Goals58.7%

Total Goals Even50.5%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

1-2 Goals49.3%

2-3 Goals46.9%

Over 2.5 Goals40.8%

Under 1.5 Goals32.8%

3-4 Goals32.2%

Exactly 2 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.4%

Over 3.5 Goals20.3%

4+ Goals20.3%

Under 0.5 Goals9.9%

Exactly 0 Goals9.9%

Over 4.5 Goals8.5%

Over 5.5 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score72.0%

Away Team to Score64.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)53.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)46.6%

Home Clean Sheet35.3%

Away Clean Sheet28.0%

Home Win to Nil25.4%

Away Win to Nil18.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.572.0%

Away Over 0.564.7%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Home Over 1.536.4%

Home Exactly 135.6%

Away Exactly 035.3%

Home Exactly 028.0%

Away Over 1.527.9%

Home Exactly 222.7%

Away Exactly 219.1%

Home Over 2.513.7%

Home 3+ Goals13.7%

Away Over 2.58.8%

Away 3+ Goals8.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away98.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home96.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)88.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home88.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)81.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away81.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)69.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home69.7%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)58.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away58.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)41.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)30.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw23.0%

Home to win by 123.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw18.8%

Away to win by 118.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)18.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home18.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw12.2%

Home to win by 212.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away11.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw8.2%

Away to win by 28.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.5%

Home to win by 3+6.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away3.3%

Away to win by 3+3.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw2.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)1.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home1.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.546.1%

BTTS & Over 2.533.5%

Home & No BTTS25.4%

Draw & Under 2.523.0%

Home & Over 2.521.1%

Home & Under 2.520.6%

Away & No BTTS18.1%

Draw & BTTS18.1%

Home & BTTS16.3%

Away & Under 2.515.6%

Away & Over 2.514.6%

BTTS & Under 2.513.1%

Away & BTTS12.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.57.3%

Draw & Over 2.55.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.572.1%

HT Over 0.564.7%

HT Draw45.4%

2nd Half More Goals41.7%

HT Under 0.535.3%

HT Home Win30.8%

1st Half More Goals30.3%

Equal Goals Each Half28.0%

HT Over 1.527.9%

HT/FT Home/Home24.4%

HT Away Win23.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw18.4%

HT/FT Away/Away17.0%

HT Both Teams Score16.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home15.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away11.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.8%

HT/FT Away/Home2.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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