Spain · La Liga

Osasuna vs Levante

Kick-off 18:30 · Mon, Aug 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

53% confidence

Osasuna 52.6% Draw 24.2% Levante 23.2%

Over 2.5 - 51% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

77%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

75%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

72%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Levante: 3 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.84 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Osasuna

L L L L L W

Form 1-0-5 Goals 7:11 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.83

Levante

L L W W W L

Form 3-0-3 Goals 10:14 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 2.33

Head to head · last 4

Osasuna 2wins ·1 draws ·Levante 1wins

Osasuna 2-3 LevanteMay 8, 2026

Osasuna 2-0 LevanteDec 8, 2025

Osasuna 3-1 LevanteMar 19, 2022

Osasuna 0-0 LevanteDec 5, 2021

📈 Probability Breakdown

Osasuna win52.6%

Draw24.2%

Levante win23.2%

Over 1.5 goals75.0%

Over 2.5 goals50.6%

Over 3.5 goals28.5%

Both teams to score72.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

91.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home

91.9%

Home Team to Score

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.9%

Home or Draw (1X)80.1%

Draw No Bet - Home75.5%

Both Halves Over 0.569.8%

Goal in Both Halves69.8%

Home Win61.1%

Draw or Away (X2)38.8%

Draw No Bet - Away24.5%

Away Win19.8%

Draw19.0%

Exactly 1 Goal9.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.8%

Under 5.5 Goals83.8%

Over 2.5 Goals70.5%

Under 4.5 Goals69.7%

2-4 Goals57.6%

Under 3.5 Goals50.5%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals49.5%

4+ Goals49.5%

1-3 Goals47.8%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.4%

Over 4.5 Goals30.3%

Under 2.5 Goals29.5%

1-2 Goals26.8%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Exactly 2 Goals17.3%

Over 5.5 Goals16.2%

Under 1.5 Goals12.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.5%

Away Team to Score72.4%

Both Teams Score (GG)65.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)34.4%

Home Clean Sheet27.5%

Home Win to Nil24.9%

Away Clean Sheet9.4%

Away Win to Nil6.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.5%

Away Over 0.572.4%

Home Over 1.568.2%

Home Over 2.541.9%

Home 3+ Goals41.9%

Away Over 1.537.0%

Away Exactly 135.5%

Away Exactly 027.5%

Home Exactly 226.3%

Away Exactly 222.9%

Home Exactly 122.3%

Away Over 2.514.1%

Away 3+ Goals14.1%

Home Exactly 09.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)91.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home91.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)90.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away90.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.1%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)78.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away78.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)61.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)60.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away60.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home39.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)38.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away38.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.6%

Home to win by 121.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home21.5%

Home to win by 3+21.5%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.0%

Home to win by 218.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.8%

Away to win by 111.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw11.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)9.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home9.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)8.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away8.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.4%

Away to win by 25.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)3.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home3.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw2.6%

Away to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.557.7%

Home & Over 2.547.7%

Home & BTTS36.2%

Home & No BTTS24.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.5%

Draw & BTTS16.4%

Away & Over 2.514.3%

Home & Under 2.513.4%

Away & BTTS13.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.9%

Draw & Under 2.510.5%

Draw & Over 2.58.5%

BTTS & Under 2.57.9%

Away & No BTTS6.8%

Away & Under 2.55.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.7%

HT Under 1.551.1%

HT Over 1.548.9%

HT Home Win46.8%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

HT/FT Home/Home40.4%

HT Draw33.2%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score28.8%

Equal Goals Each Half21.4%

HT Away Win19.9%

HT Under 0.519.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.8%

HT/FT Away/Away11.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.0%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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