Spain · La Liga

Osasuna vs Racing Santander

Kick-off 13:00 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Osasuna 49.3% Draw 24.4% Racing Santander 26.3%

Over 2.5 - 56% BTTS - 79%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

80%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

79%

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Racing Santander: 4 points versus 7 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.2%

Exact-score model probability

Osasuna

L D L L L W

Form 1-1-4 Goals 6:17 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 2.83

Racing Santander

D L L W L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 11:17 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 2.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Osasuna win49.3%

Draw24.4%

Racing Santander win26.3%

Over 1.5 goals79.5%

Over 2.5 goals56.2%

Over 3.5 goals33.8%

Both teams to score78.8%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

90.6%

Home Over 0.5

90.6%

Away Team to Score

85.9%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.4%

Both Halves Over 0.578.0%

Goal in Both Halves78.0%

Home or Draw (1X)67.3%

Draw No Bet - Home59.5%

Draw or Away (X2)52.0%

Home Win47.9%

Draw No Bet - Away40.5%

Away Win32.6%

Draw19.4%

Exactly 1 Goal5.6%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.0%

Over 2.5 Goals80.7%

Under 5.5 Goals73.0%

Over 3.5 Goals63.0%

4+ Goals63.0%

Under 4.5 Goals56.3%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2-4 Goals49.2%

Over 4.5 Goals43.7%

Under 3.5 Goals37.0%

3-4 Goals37.0%

1-3 Goals35.6%

2-3 Goals30.0%

Over 5.5 Goals27.0%

Under 2.5 Goals19.3%

1-2 Goals17.9%

Exactly 3 Goals17.7%

Exactly 2 Goals12.2%

Under 1.5 Goals7.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.4%

Exactly 0 Goals1.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score90.6%

Away Team to Score85.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)77.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)22.1%

Home Clean Sheet14.0%

Home Win to Nil12.7%

Away Clean Sheet9.3%

Away Win to Nil8.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.590.6%

Away Over 0.585.9%

Home Over 1.568.6%

Away Over 1.558.4%

Home Over 2.542.4%

Home 3+ Goals42.4%

Away Over 2.531.3%

Away 3+ Goals31.3%

Away Exactly 127.5%

Away Exactly 227.0%

Home Exactly 226.2%

Home Exactly 122.0%

Away Exactly 014.0%

Home Exactly 09.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)82.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home82.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)29.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home29.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.7%

Home to win by 118.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)17.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away17.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.5%

Away to win by 115.5%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.1%

Home to win by 3+15.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.0%

Home to win by 214.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.6%

Away to win by 29.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.4%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.6%

Away to win by 3+7.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.571.9%

Home & Over 2.541.1%

Home & BTTS35.1%

Away & Over 2.527.5%

Away & BTTS24.6%

Draw & BTTS18.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.1%

Home & No BTTS12.7%

Draw & Over 2.512.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.8%

Away & No BTTS8.0%

Draw & Under 2.57.4%

Home & Under 2.56.8%

BTTS & Under 2.56.1%

Away & Under 2.55.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.585.8%

HT Over 1.558.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.3%

HT Under 1.541.8%

HT Home Win39.4%

HT Both Teams Score38.6%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw31.1%

HT/FT Home/Home30.7%

HT Away Win29.5%

HT/FT Away/Away19.8%

Equal Goals Each Half19.4%

HT Under 0.514.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Home/Away3.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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