Italy · Serie B

Padova vs Hellas Verona

Kick-off 20:00 · Sat, Aug 29

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

85% confidence

Padova 85.2% Draw 10.0% Hellas Verona 4.8%

Over 2.5 - 81% BTTS - 56%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

95%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

94%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

85%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 9.1%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.1%

Exact-score model probability

Padova

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Hellas Verona

L D L D D L

Form 0-3-3 Goals 2:6 Scored/game 0.33 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Padova win85.2%

Draw10.0%

Hellas Verona win4.8%

Over 1.5 goals93.7%

Over 2.5 goals81.2%

Over 3.5 goals63.5%

Both teams to score56.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

90.8%

Home or Away (12)

90.0%

HT Over 0.5

86.1%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home94.3%

Home or Draw (1X)93.8%

Home or Away (12)90.0%

Home Win84.8%

Both Halves Over 0.578.4%

Goal in Both Halves78.4%

Draw or Away (X2)14.1%

Draw9.0%

Draw No Bet - Away5.7%

Exactly 1 Goal5.4%

Away Win5.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals92.3%

Over 2.5 Goals80.3%

Under 5.5 Goals73.2%

Over 3.5 Goals62.8%

4+ Goals62.8%

Under 4.5 Goals56.3%

Total Goals Even49.5%

Total Goals Odd49.4%

2-4 Goals48.6%

Over 4.5 Goals43.7%

Under 3.5 Goals37.2%

3-4 Goals36.7%

1-3 Goals34.9%

2-3 Goals29.4%

Over 5.5 Goals26.8%

Under 2.5 Goals19.7%

Exactly 3 Goals17.5%

1-2 Goals17.4%

Exactly 2 Goals11.9%

Under 1.5 Goals7.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.0%

Away Team to Score56.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.8%

Home Clean Sheet42.1%

Home Win to Nil40.8%

Away Clean Sheet2.9%

Away Win to Nil1.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.0%

Home Over 1.585.7%

Home Over 2.567.5%

Home 3+ Goals67.5%

Away Over 0.556.9%

Away Exactly 042.1%

Away Exactly 136.0%

Away Over 1.520.9%

Home Exactly 218.2%

Away Exactly 215.4%

Home Exactly 110.3%

Away Over 2.55.5%

Away 3+ Goals5.5%

Home Exactly 02.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home93.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)90.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)84.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)81.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away81.5%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)69.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home69.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)67.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away67.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)50.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home50.3%

Home to win by 3+50.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)48.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away48.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)31.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home31.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)29.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away29.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 219.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw18.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)17.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home17.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw15.3%

Home to win by 115.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)14.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away14.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw9.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)8.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home8.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)5.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.7%

Away to win by 13.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.1%

Away to win by 21.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away to win by 3+0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.572.7%

BTTS & Over 2.551.4%

Home & BTTS44.0%

Home & No BTTS40.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.528.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.9%

Home & Under 2.512.1%

Draw & BTTS7.7%

Draw & Under 2.55.0%

Draw & Over 2.54.0%

BTTS & Under 2.53.7%

Away & Over 2.53.6%

Away & BTTS3.5%

Away & No BTTS1.7%

Away & Under 2.51.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.1%

HT Home Win67.7%

HT/FT Home/Home65.0%

HT Over 1.558.7%

2nd Half More Goals48.4%

HT Under 1.541.3%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Both Teams Score25.4%

HT Draw23.7%

Equal Goals Each Half19.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.3%

HT Under 0.513.9%

HT Away Win8.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home3.6%

HT/FT Away/Away2.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.9%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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