Italy · Serie B

Padova vs Sudtirol

Kick-off 20:00 · Tue, Oct 27

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

Padova 63.0% Draw 28.7% Sudtirol 8.3%

Over 2.5 - 27% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

89%

No Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

75%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 23.5%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

23.5%

Exact-score model probability

Padova

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Sudtirol

D D D L

Form 0-3-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.25 Conceded/game 0.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Padova win63.0%

Draw28.7%

Sudtirol win8.3%

Over 1.5 goals55.2%

Over 2.5 goals27.3%

Over 3.5 goals11.1%

Both teams to score25.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

90.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

90.5%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)90.5%

Draw No Bet - Home87.1%

Home or Away (12)73.6%

Home Win64.2%

Draw or Away (X2)35.8%

Both Halves Over 0.535.2%

Goal in Both Halves35.2%

Exactly 1 Goal29.6%

Draw26.4%

Draw No Bet - Away12.9%

Away Win9.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals98.9%

Under 4.5 Goals96.3%

Under 3.5 Goals88.9%

Over 0.5 Goals83.7%

Under 2.5 Goals72.7%

1-3 Goals72.6%

1-2 Goals56.4%

Over 1.5 Goals54.1%

Total Goals Even51.3%

2-4 Goals50.4%

Total Goals Odd48.7%

Under 1.5 Goals45.9%

2-3 Goals43.0%

Over 2.5 Goals27.3%

Exactly 2 Goals26.8%

3-4 Goals23.6%

Under 0.5 Goals16.3%

Exactly 0 Goals16.3%

Exactly 3 Goals16.2%

Over 3.5 Goals11.1%

4+ Goals11.1%

Over 4.5 Goals3.7%

Over 5.5 Goals1.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score76.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)76.2%

Home Clean Sheet68.7%

Home Win to Nil52.4%

Away Team to Score31.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)23.8%

Away Clean Sheet23.7%

Away Win to Nil7.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.576.3%

Away Exactly 068.7%

Home Over 1.542.1%

Home Exactly 134.1%

Away Over 0.531.3%

Away Exactly 125.8%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 023.7%

Home Over 2.517.6%

Home 3+ Goals17.6%

Away Over 1.55.5%

Away Exactly 24.8%

Away Over 2.50.7%

Away 3+ Goals0.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home100.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home100.0%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.8%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away98.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.5%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away95.6%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home90.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)86.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away86.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away66.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)64.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away35.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home33.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw30.4%

Home to win by 130.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.1%

Home to win by 220.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)13.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home13.7%

Home to win by 3+13.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw9.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.9%

Away to win by 17.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home4.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw3.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.4%

Away to win by 21.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)1.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home1.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.2%

Away to win by 3+0.2%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.563.9%

Home & No BTTS52.4%

Home & Under 2.540.3%

Draw & Under 2.525.1%

Home & Over 2.523.8%

BTTS & Over 2.515.0%

No BTTS & Over 2.512.2%

Home & BTTS11.7%

Draw & BTTS10.1%

BTTS & Under 2.58.8%

Away & No BTTS7.4%

Away & Under 2.57.3%

Away & Over 2.52.2%

Away & BTTS2.0%

Draw & Over 2.51.3%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.580.3%

HT Over 0.555.8%

HT Draw49.2%

HT Under 0.544.2%

HT Home Win42.2%

HT/FT Home/Home39.4%

2nd Half More Goals38.7%

Equal Goals Each Half32.5%

1st Half More Goals28.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home23.5%

HT/FT Draw/Draw21.2%

HT Over 1.519.7%

HT Away Win8.6%

HT Both Teams Score7.4%

HT/FT Away/Away4.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.6%

HT/FT Away/Home1.3%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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