Italy · Serie B

Padova vs Virtus Entella

Kick-off 14:00 · Sat, Oct 17

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

83% confidence

Padova 82.8% Draw 9.6% Virtus Entella 7.6%

Over 2.5 - 93% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

92%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

83%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 4-1 at 6.5%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

4-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

6.5%

Exact-score model probability

Padova

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 5:3 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1.5

Virtus Entella

W L

Form 1-0-1 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Padova win82.8%

Draw9.6%

Virtus Entella win7.6%

Over 1.5 goals98.2%

Over 2.5 goals92.7%

Over 3.5 goals82.6%

Both teams to score76.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw No Bet - Home

91.4%

Over 2.5 Goals

89.7%

Home Over 1.5

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home91.4%

Home or Draw (1X)89.2%

Both Halves Over 0.588.9%

Goal in Both Halves88.9%

Home or Away (12)88.0%

Home Win80.4%

Draw or Away (X2)16.4%

Draw8.8%

Draw No Bet - Away8.6%

Away Win7.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Over 1.5 Goals94.7%

Over 2.5 Goals89.7%

Over 3.5 Goals79.9%

4+ Goals79.9%

Over 4.5 Goals65.7%

Under 5.5 Goals50.8%

Over 5.5 Goals49.2%

Total Goals Odd48.4%

Total Goals Even48.4%

Under 4.5 Goals34.3%

2-4 Goals29.1%

3-4 Goals24.0%

Under 3.5 Goals20.1%

1-3 Goals16.6%

2-3 Goals14.8%

Under 2.5 Goals10.3%

Exactly 3 Goals9.8%

1-2 Goals6.8%

Under 1.5 Goals5.3%

Exactly 2 Goals5.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

Away Team to Score75.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)74.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)25.9%

Home Clean Sheet21.6%

Home Win to Nil21.3%

Away Clean Sheet1.3%

Away Win to Nil1.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Home Over 1.589.7%

Home Over 2.577.2%

Home 3+ Goals77.2%

Away Over 0.575.2%

Away Over 1.542.8%

Away Exactly 132.4%

Away Exactly 224.3%

Away Exactly 021.6%

Away Over 2.518.5%

Away 3+ Goals18.5%

Home Exactly 212.5%

Home Exactly 15.8%

Home Exactly 01.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)93.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home93.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)89.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home89.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)86.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)80.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)76.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away76.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)67.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home67.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)62.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away62.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)50.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home50.6%

Home to win by 3+50.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)46.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away46.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)34.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home34.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)29.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away29.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)20.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home20.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.5%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)16.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away16.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw16.4%

Home to win by 216.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 113.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw10.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)10.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home10.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)7.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.6%

Away to win by 14.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.0%

Away to win by 22.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.0%

Away to win by 3+1.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.576.3%

BTTS & Over 2.572.2%

Home & BTTS59.1%

Home & No BTTS21.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.5%

Draw & BTTS8.5%

Away & Over 2.56.8%

Draw & Over 2.56.6%

Away & BTTS6.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.2%

Home & Under 2.54.1%

Draw & Under 2.52.2%

BTTS & Under 2.51.9%

Away & No BTTS1.0%

Away & Under 2.50.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.7%

HT Over 1.573.5%

HT Home Win67.4%

HT/FT Home/Home63.6%

2nd Half More Goals51.0%

HT Both Teams Score42.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.526.5%

HT Draw20.5%

Equal Goals Each Half16.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.7%

HT Away Win12.1%

HT Under 0.57.3%

HT/FT Away/Home5.2%

HT/FT Away/Away4.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.3%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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