UEFA Europa Conference League

Pafos vs Dinamo Tirana

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 27

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

63% confidence

Pafos 16.6% Draw 20.2% Dinamo Tirana 63.2%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

89%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

83%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-2 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Dinamo Tirana: 5 points versus 11 across the last 5 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.37 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-2

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Pafos

D D L W L

Form 1-2-2 Goals 6:7 Scored/game 1.2 Conceded/game 1.4

Dinamo Tirana

D W L W D W

Form 3-2-1 Goals 13:4 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 1

Pafos 0wins ·1 draws ·Dinamo Tirana 0wins

Pafos 1-1 Dinamo TiranaAug 20, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Pafos win16.6%

Draw20.2%

Dinamo Tirana win63.2%

Over 1.5 goals89.0%

Over 2.5 goals70.8%

Over 3.5 goals49.7%

Both teams to score65.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Team to Score

91.2%

Away Over 0.5

91.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

88.6%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)82.3%

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Draw No Bet - Away78.4%

Both Halves Over 0.570.0%

Goal in Both Halves70.0%

Away Win64.1%

Home or Draw (1X)35.8%

Draw No Bet - Home21.6%

Draw18.2%

Home Win17.6%

Exactly 1 Goal9.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.9%

Under 5.5 Goals83.6%

Over 2.5 Goals70.7%

Under 4.5 Goals69.6%

2-4 Goals57.5%

Under 3.5 Goals50.3%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals49.7%

4+ Goals49.7%

1-3 Goals47.6%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.2%

Over 4.5 Goals30.4%

Under 2.5 Goals29.3%

1-2 Goals26.6%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Exactly 2 Goals17.2%

Over 5.5 Goals16.4%

Under 1.5 Goals12.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score91.2%

Home Team to Score70.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)64.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)35.7%

Away Clean Sheet29.4%

Away Win to Nil26.9%

Home Clean Sheet8.7%

Home Win to Nil6.1%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.591.2%

Home Over 0.570.5%

Away Over 1.569.9%

Away Over 2.544.0%

Away 3+ Goals44.0%

Home Exactly 136.0%

Home Over 1.534.5%

Home Exactly 029.4%

Away Exactly 225.9%

Home Exactly 222.0%

Away Exactly 121.3%

Home Over 2.512.5%

Home 3+ Goals12.5%

Away Exactly 08.7%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home95.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)93.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away93.1%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)88.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home88.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)82.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away82.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)76.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home76.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)64.1%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)57.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home57.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)42.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away42.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)35.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home35.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)23.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away23.8%

Away to win by 3+23.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw21.6%

Away to win by 121.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw18.7%

Away to win by 218.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)17.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw12.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)11.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away11.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw10.8%

Home to win by 110.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)6.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home6.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw6.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw4.7%

Home to win by 24.7%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away4.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw3.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.1%

Home to win by 3+2.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw1.6%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away1.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.4%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.556.7%

Away & Over 2.550.2%

Away & BTTS37.2%

Away & No BTTS26.9%

No BTTS & Under 2.521.5%

Draw & BTTS15.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.514.0%

Away & Under 2.513.9%

Home & Over 2.512.6%

Home & BTTS11.5%

Draw & Under 2.510.2%

Draw & Over 2.58.0%

BTTS & Under 2.57.7%

Home & No BTTS6.1%

Home & Under 2.55.1%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.8%

HT Under 1.551.0%

HT Over 1.549.0%

HT Away Win48.9%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

HT/FT Away/Away42.9%

HT Draw32.7%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Both Teams Score28.2%

Equal Goals Each Half21.4%

HT Under 0.519.2%

HT Home Win18.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away17.3%

HT/FT Home/Home9.9%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home6.1%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Away4.0%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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