UEFA Europa League

Pafos vs HNK Hajduk Split

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Away +3.5 (Handicap)

92% confidence

Pafos 1.1% Draw 6.8% HNK Hajduk Split 92.1%

Over 2.5 - 70% BTTS - 25%

🎯 Best Pick

Away Win

AI verdict (fallback)

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 24%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-3 at 16.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Numbers behind this Away +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

0-3

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

16.3%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

24%

Market does not fully agree

Pafos

Form 0-0-1 Goals 0:2 Scored/game 0 Conceded/game 2

HNK Hajduk Split

W L W

Form 2-0-1 Goals 5:2 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.67

Head to head · last 1

Pafos 0wins ·0 draws ·HNK Hajduk Split 1wins

Pafos 0-2 HNK Hajduk SplitJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Pafos win1.1%

Draw6.8%

HNK Hajduk Split win92.1%

Over 1.5 goals88.0%

Over 2.5 goals70.1%

Over 3.5 goals48.8%

Both teams to score25.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away Win

91.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)

91.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Away98.5%

Draw or Away (X2)97.8%

Home or Away (12)93.2%

Away Win91.8%

Both Halves Over 0.569.6%

Goal in Both Halves69.6%

Exactly 1 Goal9.6%

Home or Draw (1X)7.5%

Draw6.0%

Draw No Bet - Home1.5%

Home Win1.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals96.6%

Over 1.5 Goals87.0%

Under 5.5 Goals84.7%

Under 4.5 Goals70.7%

Over 2.5 Goals69.6%

2-4 Goals57.8%

Under 3.5 Goals51.6%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Over 3.5 Goals48.4%

4+ Goals48.4%

1-3 Goals48.2%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.6%

Under 2.5 Goals30.4%

Over 4.5 Goals29.3%

1-2 Goals27.1%

Exactly 3 Goals21.1%

Exactly 2 Goals17.4%

Over 5.5 Goals15.3%

Under 1.5 Goals13.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.4%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score95.7%

No Both Teams Score (NG)75.2%

Away Clean Sheet73.5%

Away Win to Nil70.9%

Home Team to Score25.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)24.8%

Home Clean Sheet3.6%

Home Win to Nil0.9%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.595.7%

Away Over 1.583.8%

Home Exactly 073.5%

Away Over 2.564.0%

Away 3+ Goals64.0%

Home Over 0.525.7%

Home Exactly 122.1%

Away Exactly 219.8%

Away Exactly 111.9%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Away Exactly 03.6%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.3%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.3%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away99.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away97.8%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)91.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)89.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)79.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home79.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)77.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away77.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)62.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home62.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)57.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away57.5%

Away to win by 3+57.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)41.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home41.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)36.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away36.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)21.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home21.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw20.8%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)20.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw20.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away20.2%

Away to win by 220.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw16.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw14.0%

Away to win by 114.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw10.7%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)9.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away9.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home7.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)1.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw1.3%

Home to win by 11.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home0.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw0.2%

Home to win by 20.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Home to win by 3+0.0%

Combos (15)

Away & No BTTS70.9%

Away & Over 2.568.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.547.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.527.1%

Away & Under 2.523.5%

BTTS & Over 2.522.2%

Away & BTTS20.9%

Draw & Under 2.55.3%

Draw & BTTS3.4%

BTTS & Under 2.52.6%

Home & Under 2.50.9%

Home & No BTTS0.9%

Draw & Over 2.50.7%

Home & Over 2.50.5%

Home & BTTS0.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.5%

HT Away Win73.2%

HT/FT Away/Away72.3%

HT Under 1.551.4%

HT Over 1.548.6%

2nd Half More Goals46.5%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw23.7%

Equal Goals Each Half21.5%

HT Under 0.519.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away18.7%

HT Both Teams Score9.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw4.3%

HT Home Win3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw0.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw0.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home0.7%

HT/FT Home/Home0.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.1%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Pafos win10%

Draw45%

HNK Hajduk Split win45%

AdviceWinner : HNK Hajduk Split

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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