UEFA Europa League

Pafos vs Red Bull Salzburg

Kick-off 18:00 · Thu, Aug 13

📊 Our Prediction

Draw No Bet - Away

50% confidence

Pafos 10.0% Draw 40.0% Red Bull Salzburg 50.0%

Over 2.5 - 15% BTTS - 19%

🎯 Best Pick

Draw No Bet - Away

Away team strength

⚠️ AIs disagree

64%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Under 2.5 Goals

Low scoring trend

80%

No Both Teams Score (NG)

Pafos scoring issues

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Pafos is in poor form, with a significant gap in attacking threat compared to Red Bull Salzburg. Salzburg's defensive strength and Pafos's struggle to score make a low-scoring game likely. The head-to-head history also favors Salzburg. With Pafos's recent losses and Salzburg's win in their last meeting, the away team has an advantage.

💡

Top Tip

Draw No Bet on the away team is a strong pick due to Salzburg's superior form and Pafos's scoring difficulties

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 0-0 at 27.3%, based on the goal model.

Away team strength

Numbers behind this Draw No Bet - Away

Most likely score

0-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

27.3%

Exact-score model probability

Pafos

L W L

Form 1-0-2 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Red Bull Salzburg

Form 1-0-0 Goals 1:0 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 0

Head to head · last 1

Pafos 0wins ·0 draws ·Red Bull Salzburg 1wins

Pafos 0-1 Red Bull SalzburgAug 6, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

Pafos win10.0%

Draw40.0%

Red Bull Salzburg win50.0%

Over 1.5 goals38.4%

Over 2.5 goals14.7%

Over 3.5 goals4.3%

Both teams to score18.7%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Draw or Away (X2)

89.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away

89.0%

Match Result (11)

Draw or Away (X2)89.0%

Draw No Bet - Away82.9%

Home or Away (12)63.9%

Away Win53.0%

Home or Draw (1X)47.0%

Draw36.1%

Exactly 1 Goal35.4%

Both Halves Over 0.522.6%

Goal in Both Halves22.6%

Draw No Bet - Home17.1%

Home Win11.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals99.8%

Under 4.5 Goals98.9%

Under 3.5 Goals95.7%

Under 2.5 Goals85.7%

Over 0.5 Goals72.7%

1-3 Goals68.4%

Under 1.5 Goals62.7%

1-2 Goals58.5%

Total Goals Even53.7%

Total Goals Odd46.3%

Over 1.5 Goals37.3%

2-4 Goals36.3%

2-3 Goals33.0%

Under 0.5 Goals27.3%

Exactly 0 Goals27.3%

Exactly 2 Goals23.0%

Over 2.5 Goals14.3%

3-4 Goals13.2%

Exactly 3 Goals10.0%

Over 3.5 Goals4.3%

4+ Goals4.3%

Over 4.5 Goals1.1%

Over 5.5 Goals0.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

No Both Teams Score (NG)83.6%

Away Clean Sheet74.1%

Away Team to Score63.2%

Away Win to Nil46.8%

Home Clean Sheet36.8%

Home Team to Score25.9%

Both Teams Score (GG)16.4%

Home Win to Nil9.5%

Team Goals (14)

Home Exactly 074.1%

Away Over 0.563.2%

Away Exactly 036.8%

Away Exactly 136.8%

Away Over 1.526.4%

Home Over 0.525.9%

Home Exactly 122.2%

Away Exactly 218.4%

Away Over 2.58.0%

Away 3+ Goals8.0%

Home Over 1.53.7%

Home Exactly 23.3%

Home Over 2.50.4%

Home 3+ Goals0.4%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +3.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away100.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away100.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)98.5%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away98.5%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.5%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home93.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away89.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)78.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home78.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)53.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)47.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home47.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw31.6%

Away to win by 131.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)21.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away21.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw15.0%

Away to win by 215.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)11.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw9.5%

Home to win by 19.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)6.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away6.4%

Away to win by 3+6.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.9%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)1.5%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home1.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw1.4%

Home to win by 21.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw0.1%

Home to win by 3+0.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.577.5%

Away & No BTTS46.8%

Away & Under 2.540.9%

Draw & Under 2.535.4%

Away & Over 2.512.1%

Home & No BTTS9.5%

Home & Under 2.59.4%

Draw & BTTS8.8%

BTTS & Over 2.58.2%

BTTS & Under 2.58.2%

Away & BTTS6.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.56.1%

Home & Over 2.51.6%

Home & BTTS1.4%

Draw & Over 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.588.3%

HT Draw59.1%

HT Under 0.555.7%

HT Over 0.544.3%

Equal Goals Each Half39.9%

2nd Half More Goals34.1%

HT Away Win32.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw31.6%

HT/FT Away/Away30.1%

1st Half More Goals26.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away22.1%

HT Over 1.511.7%

HT Home Win8.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home5.4%

HT/FT Home/Home5.3%

HT Both Teams Score4.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away0.7%

HT/FT Away/Home0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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