UEFA Europa Conference League

Paide vs Rapid Vienna

Full time · 1:4

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

86% confidence

Paide 42.0% Draw 22.0% Rapid Vienna 36.0%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 83%

✓ Pick was correct (1:4)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

85%

Away Team to Score

Rapid Vienna scoring

80%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

Paide and Rapid Vienna have a significant form gap, with Rapid Vienna showing strong attacking threat. Paide's defensive strength will be tested. Key players like Andrija Radulovic can make a difference for Rapid Vienna. The match context does not suggest a significant H2H significance. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring potential of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 86.1% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

86.1%

Chance of 3+ total goals

Paide high-scoring games

25%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Rapid Vienna high-scoring games

100%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Paide

D W W D

Form 2-2-0 Goals 6:2 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.5

Rapid Vienna

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 9:3 Scored/game 4.5 Conceded/game 1.5

📈 Probability Breakdown

Paide win42.0%

Draw22.0%

Rapid Vienna win36.0%

Over 1.5 goals96.0%

Over 2.5 goals86.1%

Over 3.5 goals71.1%

Both teams to score83.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

90.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home

90.5%

Away Team to Score

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Both Halves Over 0.582.5%

Goal in Both Halves82.5%

Home or Away (12)81.3%

Home or Draw (1X)65.0%

Draw No Bet - Home57.3%

Draw or Away (X2)53.2%

Home Win46.6%

Draw No Bet - Away42.7%

Away Win34.8%

Draw18.5%

Exactly 1 Goal3.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals99.0%

Over 1.5 Goals95.2%

Over 2.5 Goals85.9%

Over 3.5 Goals71.0%

4+ Goals71.0%

Under 5.5 Goals64.6%

Over 4.5 Goals52.9%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Under 4.5 Goals47.1%

2-4 Goals42.3%

Over 5.5 Goals35.4%

3-4 Goals33.0%

Under 3.5 Goals29.0%

1-3 Goals28.1%

2-3 Goals24.2%

Exactly 3 Goals15.0%

Under 2.5 Goals14.1%

1-2 Goals13.1%

Exactly 2 Goals9.3%

Under 1.5 Goals4.8%

Under 0.5 Goals1.0%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score92.3%

Away Team to Score89.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)82.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)17.4%

Home Clean Sheet10.5%

Home Win to Nil9.7%

Away Clean Sheet7.5%

Away Win to Nil6.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.592.3%

Away Over 0.589.3%

Home Over 1.572.8%

Away Over 1.565.6%

Home Over 2.547.7%

Home 3+ Goals47.7%

Away Over 2.539.0%

Away 3+ Goals39.0%

Away Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 225.2%

Away Exactly 123.7%

Home Exactly 119.4%

Away Exactly 010.5%

Home Exactly 07.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.8%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.5%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away96.9%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)92.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away92.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)84.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away84.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)80.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home80.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)70.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away70.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)65.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home65.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)53.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away53.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)46.6%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)34.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.9%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)19.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away19.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.6%

Home to win by 117.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)15.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home15.5%

Home to win by 3+15.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.3%

Away to win by 115.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw13.4%

Home to win by 213.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw10.1%

Away to win by 210.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.3%

Away to win by 3+9.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home7.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw5.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.8%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.9%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.4%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.577.9%

Home & Over 2.541.9%

Home & BTTS36.8%

Away & Over 2.531.0%

Away & BTTS28.0%

Draw & BTTS17.7%

Draw & Over 2.513.1%

Home & No BTTS9.7%

No BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.0%

Away & No BTTS6.7%

Draw & Under 2.55.4%

Home & Under 2.54.7%

BTTS & Under 2.54.6%

Away & Under 2.53.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.7%

HT Over 1.564.0%

2nd Half More Goals49.3%

HT Both Teams Score43.8%

HT Home Win39.2%

HT Under 1.536.0%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Away Win31.6%

HT/FT Home/Home30.1%

HT Draw29.2%

HT/FT Away/Away21.5%

Equal Goals Each Half18.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home12.1%

HT Under 0.511.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw7.6%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Home/Away3.7%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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