Italy · Serie B

Palermo vs Carrarese

Kick-off 15:00 · Sun, Oct 25

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

49% confidence

Palermo 48.6% Draw 30.1% Carrarese 21.3%

Over 2.5 - 41% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 4.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

92%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

79%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-0 at 14.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.2%

Exact-score model probability

Palermo

W L L W

Form 2-0-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1.75

Carrarese

L D

Form 0-1-1 Goals 1:2 Scored/game 0.5 Conceded/game 1

📈 Probability Breakdown

Palermo win48.6%

Draw30.1%

Carrarese win21.3%

Over 1.5 goals68.8%

Over 2.5 goals40.7%

Over 3.5 goals20.3%

Both teams to score46.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Under 4.5 Goals

91.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away

90.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)77.1%

Home or Away (12)73.1%

Draw No Bet - Home68.7%

Home Win50.2%

Draw or Away (X2)49.8%

Both Halves Over 0.546.6%

Goal in Both Halves46.6%

Draw No Bet - Away31.3%

Draw26.9%

Away Win22.9%

Exactly 1 Goal22.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals96.9%

Under 4.5 Goals91.5%

Over 0.5 Goals90.1%

Under 3.5 Goals79.7%

1-3 Goals69.8%

Over 1.5 Goals67.2%

Under 2.5 Goals59.3%

2-4 Goals58.7%

Total Goals Even50.5%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

1-2 Goals49.4%

2-3 Goals46.9%

Over 2.5 Goals40.7%

Under 1.5 Goals32.8%

3-4 Goals32.2%

Exactly 2 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals20.4%

Over 3.5 Goals20.3%

4+ Goals20.3%

Under 0.5 Goals9.9%

Exactly 0 Goals9.9%

Over 4.5 Goals8.5%

Over 5.5 Goals3.1%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score76.3%

Away Team to Score58.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.5%

Home Clean Sheet41.7%

Home Win to Nil31.8%

Away Clean Sheet23.7%

Away Win to Nil13.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.576.3%

Away Over 0.558.3%

Home Over 1.542.1%

Away Exactly 041.7%

Away Exactly 136.5%

Home Exactly 134.1%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 023.7%

Away Over 1.521.8%

Home Over 2.517.6%

Home 3+ Goals17.6%

Away Exactly 216.0%

Away Over 2.55.9%

Away 3+ Goals5.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.2%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)96.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away96.9%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away90.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)77.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home77.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)75.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away75.0%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)50.2%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away49.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw25.3%

Home to win by 125.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)25.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home25.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)22.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.4%

Away to win by 115.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.3%

Home to win by 215.3%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home9.7%

Home to win by 3+9.7%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw6.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.6%

Away to win by 25.6%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)3.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home3.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw2.3%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.9%

Away to win by 3+1.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

No BTTS & Under 2.546.8%

BTTS & Over 2.532.0%

Home & No BTTS31.8%

Home & Over 2.525.8%

Home & Under 2.524.5%

Draw & Under 2.522.3%

Home & BTTS18.5%

Draw & BTTS17.0%

Away & No BTTS13.8%

BTTS & Under 2.512.5%

Away & Under 2.512.4%

Away & Over 2.510.4%

Away & BTTS9.1%

No BTTS & Over 2.58.7%

Draw & Over 2.54.5%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Under 1.572.1%

HT Over 0.564.7%

HT Draw44.9%

2nd Half More Goals41.7%

HT Home Win35.9%

HT Under 0.535.3%

1st Half More Goals30.3%

HT/FT Home/Home30.3%

Equal Goals Each Half28.0%

HT Over 1.527.9%

HT Away Win19.2%

HT/FT Draw/Draw17.8%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.8%

HT Both Teams Score15.5%

HT/FT Away/Away12.5%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.2%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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