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Italy · Serie B

Palermo vs Juve Stabia

Kick-off 20:00 · Sun, Aug 23
📊 Our Prediction
Away +5.5 (Handicap)
41% confidence
Palermo 33.1% Draw 25.5% Juve Stabia 41.4%
Over 2.5 - 64% BTTS - 66%
🎯 Best Pick
Over 1.5 Goals
Goal-line projection
🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree
86%
▸ Show 2 alternatives
Home or Away (12)
Double chance from Poisson
75%
Both Teams Score
BTTS Poisson estimate
66%
🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news
Why this pick was selected
The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 10%, based on the goal model.
Goal-line projection
Recent form leans to Palermo: 6 points versus 5 across the last 4 matches.
Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)
Most likely score
1-1
Top Poisson scoreline
Scoreline probability
10%
Exact-score model probability
Palermo
W L L W
Form 2-0-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1.75
Juve Stabia
L D W D L
Form 1-2-2 Goals 5:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1.2

📈 Probability Breakdown

Palermo win33.1%
Draw25.5%
Juve Stabia win41.4%
Over 1.5 goals85.5%
Over 2.5 goals64.1%
Over 3.5 goals42.0%
Both teams to score66.4%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +2.5 (Handicap)
90.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home
90.3%
Under 5.5 Goals
88.3%
Match Result (11)
Home or Away (12)77.1%
Draw or Away (X2)65.6%
Both Halves Over 0.564.8%
Goal in Both Halves64.8%
Home or Draw (1X)57.3%
Draw No Bet - Away55.4%
Draw No Bet - Home44.6%
Away Win42.7%
Home Win34.4%
Draw22.9%
Exactly 1 Goal12.2%
Goals Over/Under (23)
Over 0.5 Goals96.3%
Under 5.5 Goals88.3%
Over 1.5 Goals84.2%
Under 4.5 Goals76.2%
Over 2.5 Goals64.1%
2-4 Goals60.4%
Under 3.5 Goals58.0%
1-3 Goals54.3%
Total Goals Even50.1%
Total Goals Odd49.9%
2-3 Goals42.2%
Over 3.5 Goals42.0%
4+ Goals42.0%
3-4 Goals40.3%
Under 2.5 Goals35.9%
1-2 Goals32.2%
Over 4.5 Goals23.8%
Exactly 3 Goals22.1%
Exactly 2 Goals20.1%
Under 1.5 Goals15.8%
Over 5.5 Goals11.7%
Under 0.5 Goals3.7%
Exactly 0 Goals3.7%
BTTS & Defence (8)
Away Team to Score82.6%
Home Team to Score78.8%
Both Teams Score (GG)65.1%
No Both Teams Score (NG)34.9%
Away Clean Sheet21.2%
Away Win to Nil17.5%
Home Clean Sheet17.4%
Home Win to Nil13.7%
Team Goals (14)
Away Over 0.582.6%
Home Over 0.578.8%
Away Over 1.552.2%
Home Over 1.545.9%
Home Exactly 132.9%
Away Exactly 130.4%
Away Exactly 226.6%
Away Over 2.525.6%
Away 3+ Goals25.6%
Home Exactly 225.5%
Home Exactly 021.2%
Home Over 2.520.4%
Home 3+ Goals20.4%
Away Exactly 017.4%
Handicap & Margin (60)
Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%
Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%
Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%
European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.4%
Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.9%
European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.9%
Away +3.5 (Handicap)97.9%
European Handicap 0:4 - Away97.9%
Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.5%
European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.5%
Away +2.5 (Handicap)93.6%
European Handicap 0:3 - Away93.6%
Home +2.5 (Handicap)90.3%
European Handicap 3:0 - Home90.3%
Away +1.5 (Handicap)83.5%
European Handicap 0:2 - Away83.5%
Home +1.5 (Handicap)77.5%
European Handicap 2:0 - Home77.5%
Away +0.5 (Handicap)65.6%
European Handicap 0:1 - Away65.6%
Home +0.5 (Handicap)57.3%
European Handicap 1:0 - Home57.3%
Away -0.5 (Handicap)42.7%
Home -0.5 (Handicap)34.4%
Away -1.5 (Handicap)22.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Away22.5%
European Handicap 1:0 - Draw20.2%
Away to win by 120.2%
European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.9%
Home to win by 117.9%
Home -1.5 (Handicap)16.5%
European Handicap 0:1 - Home16.5%
European Handicap 2:0 - Draw12.8%
Away to win by 212.8%
European Handicap 0:2 - Draw10.1%
Home to win by 210.1%
Away -2.5 (Handicap)9.7%
European Handicap 2:0 - Away9.7%
Away to win by 3+9.7%
Home -2.5 (Handicap)6.4%
European Handicap 0:2 - Home6.4%
Home to win by 3+6.4%
European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.2%
European Handicap 0:3 - Draw4.3%
Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.5%
European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.5%
European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.4%
Home -3.5 (Handicap)2.1%
European Handicap 0:3 - Home2.1%
European Handicap 0:4 - Draw1.5%
Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.1%
European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.1%
European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.8%
Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.6%
European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.6%
European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.4%
Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.3%
European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.3%
Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.1%
European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.1%
Combos (15)
BTTS & Over 2.555.1%
Away & Over 2.530.6%
No BTTS & Under 2.525.9%
Away & BTTS25.2%
Home & Over 2.524.2%
Home & BTTS20.7%
Draw & BTTS19.2%
Away & No BTTS17.5%
Draw & Under 2.513.7%
Home & No BTTS13.7%
Away & Under 2.512.1%
Home & Under 2.510.1%
BTTS & Under 2.510.0%
Draw & Over 2.59.2%
No BTTS & Over 2.59.0%
Half-Time & HT/FT (20)
HT Over 0.577.4%
HT Under 1.556.3%
2nd Half More Goals45.6%
HT Over 1.543.7%
HT Draw36.9%
HT Away Win34.2%
1st Half More Goals31.7%
HT Home Win28.9%
HT Both Teams Score27.4%
HT/FT Away/Away26.1%
Equal Goals Each Half22.7%
HT Under 0.522.6%
HT/FT Home/Home20.4%
HT/FT Draw/Away13.5%
HT/FT Draw/Draw12.0%
HT/FT Draw/Home11.3%
HT/FT Away/Draw5.4%
HT/FT Home/Draw5.4%
HT/FT Home/Away3.1%
HT/FT Away/Home2.6%
How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.
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