Italy · Serie B

Palermo vs Sampdoria

Kick-off 19:30 · Mon, Sep 7

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

91% confidence

Palermo 90.5% Draw 7.2% Sampdoria 2.3%

Over 2.5 - 82% BTTS - 46%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

94%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

93%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

91%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 10.9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Palermo: 6 points versus 5 across the last 4 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

10.9%

Exact-score model probability

Palermo

W L L W

Form 2-0-2 Goals 5:7 Scored/game 1.25 Conceded/game 1.75

Sampdoria

L W L D L D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 5:11 Scored/game 0.83 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

Palermo win90.5%

Draw7.2%

Sampdoria win2.3%

Over 1.5 goals93.8%

Over 2.5 goals81.5%

Over 3.5 goals63.9%

Both teams to score46.1%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.9%

Home Win

89.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)

89.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home97.1%

Home or Draw (1X)95.7%

Home or Away (12)92.1%

Home Win89.4%

Both Halves Over 0.578.8%

Goal in Both Halves78.8%

Draw or Away (X2)9.0%

Draw6.3%

Exactly 1 Goal5.3%

Draw No Bet - Away2.9%

Away Win2.7%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.2%

Over 1.5 Goals91.9%

Over 2.5 Goals80.2%

Under 5.5 Goals73.2%

Over 3.5 Goals62.9%

4+ Goals62.9%

Under 4.5 Goals56.2%

Total Goals Even49.3%

Total Goals Odd49.1%

2-4 Goals48.1%

Over 4.5 Goals43.8%

Under 3.5 Goals37.1%

3-4 Goals36.4%

1-3 Goals34.3%

2-3 Goals29.0%

Over 5.5 Goals26.8%

Under 2.5 Goals19.8%

Exactly 3 Goals17.3%

1-2 Goals17.0%

Exactly 2 Goals11.7%

Under 1.5 Goals8.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.8%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score96.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)55.1%

Home Clean Sheet52.4%

Home Win to Nil51.2%

Away Team to Score46.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)44.9%

Away Clean Sheet2.2%

Away Win to Nil1.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.596.2%

Home Over 1.587.6%

Home Over 2.571.4%

Home 3+ Goals71.4%

Away Exactly 052.4%

Away Over 0.546.0%

Away Exactly 133.0%

Home Exactly 216.2%

Away Over 1.513.0%

Away Exactly 210.4%

Home Exactly 18.5%

Away Over 2.52.6%

Away 3+ Goals2.6%

Home Exactly 02.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)98.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)98.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home98.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.7%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)89.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)86.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)76.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home76.8%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)75.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away75.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)58.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home58.9%

Home to win by 3+58.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)58.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away58.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)39.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home39.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)39.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away39.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)23.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home23.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)21.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away21.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw17.9%

Home to win by 217.9%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw16.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw12.6%

Home to win by 112.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)11.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home11.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw11.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)9.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away9.0%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)2.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.1%

Away to win by 12.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.5%

Away to win by 20.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.576.3%

Home & No BTTS51.2%

BTTS & Over 2.542.1%

Home & BTTS38.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.538.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.515.4%

Home & Under 2.513.2%

Draw & BTTS5.1%

Draw & Under 2.54.1%

BTTS & Under 2.52.9%

Draw & Over 2.52.2%

Away & Over 2.51.7%

Away & BTTS1.6%

Away & No BTTS1.1%

Away & Under 2.51.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.3%

HT Home Win73.3%

HT/FT Home/Home71.6%

HT Over 1.559.2%

2nd Half More Goals48.5%

HT Under 1.540.8%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw21.1%

HT Both Teams Score20.2%

Equal Goals Each Half19.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.6%

HT Under 0.513.7%

HT Away Win5.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home2.8%

HT/FT Away/Away1.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.4%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.1%

HT/FT Home/Away0.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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