Brazil · Serie A

Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG

Kick-off 23:30 · Sun, Jul 26

📊 Our Prediction

Home Team to Score

54% confidence

Palmeiras 54.4% Draw 23.5% Atletico-MG 22.1%

Over 2.5 - 65% BTTS - 64%

🎯 Best Pick

Home Team to Score

AI verdict (fallback)

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 83%

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

85%

📈 Probability Breakdown

Palmeiras win54.4%

Draw23.5%

Atletico-MG win22.1%

Over 1.5 goals85.9%

Over 2.5 goals65.0%

Over 3.5 goals43.1%

Both teams to score64.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home +1.5 (Handicap)

90.4%

Under 5.5 Goals

87.7%

Home Team to Score

87.4%

Over 0.5 Goals96.5%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)90.4%

Under 5.5 Goals87.7%

Home Team to Score87.4%

Home Over 0.587.4%

Over 1.5 Goals84.7%

Home or Away (12)78.9%

HT Over 0.577.9%

Home or Draw (1X)76.7%

Under 4.5 Goals75.4%

Away Team to Score72.2%

Away Over 0.572.2%

Draw No Bet - Home70.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)66.6%

Both Halves Over 0.565.5%

Goal in Both Halves65.5%

Over 2.5 Goals65.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)63.1%

Home Over 1.561.2%

2-4 Goals60.1%

Under 3.5 Goals57.0%

Home Win55.6%

HT Under 1.555.5%

BTTS & Over 2.553.8%

1-3 Goals53.4%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

2nd Half More Goals45.7%

HT Over 1.544.5%

Draw or Away (X2)44.4%

Over 3.5 Goals43.0%

4+ Goals43.0%

HT Home Win42.5%

2-3 Goals41.7%

Home & Over 2.540.8%

3-4 Goals40.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)36.9%

Away Over 1.536.6%

HT Draw35.7%

Away Exactly 135.6%

HT/FT Home/Home35.6%

Under 2.5 Goals35.0%

Home Over 2.534.2%

Home 3+ Goals34.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)33.4%

1st Half More Goals31.8%

1-2 Goals31.4%

Home & BTTS31.3%

Draw No Bet - Away29.5%

Home Clean Sheet27.8%

Away Exactly 027.8%

Home Exactly 227.0%

HT Both Teams Score26.5%

Home Exactly 126.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.525.7%

Over 4.5 Goals24.6%

Home Win to Nil24.3%

Home & No BTTS24.3%

Away Win23.3%

Away Exactly 222.8%

Equal Goals Each Half22.5%

Home to win by 122.2%

HT Under 0.522.1%

Exactly 3 Goals22.0%

HT Away Win21.8%

Draw21.1%

Exactly 2 Goals19.7%

Draw & BTTS17.6%

Home to win by 216.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)16.6%

Home to win by 3+16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.4%

Away & Over 2.515.9%

Under 1.5 Goals15.3%

Home & Under 2.514.8%

Away & BTTS14.2%

Away Over 2.513.8%

Away 3+ Goals13.8%

Away to win by 113.7%

HT/FT Away/Away13.3%

Draw & Under 2.512.8%

Away Clean Sheet12.6%

Home Exactly 012.6%

Over 5.5 Goals12.3%

Exactly 1 Goal11.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.511.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)9.6%

BTTS & Under 2.59.3%

Away Win to Nil9.1%

Away & No BTTS9.1%

Draw & Over 2.58.3%

HT/FT Draw/Away8.1%

Away & Under 2.57.4%

Away to win by 26.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.0%

Under 0.5 Goals3.5%

Exactly 0 Goals3.5%

HT/FT Away/Home3.5%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)3.1%

Away to win by 3+3.1%

HT/FT Home/Away1.9%

🏥 Injuries & Suspensions

Atletico-MG

A. Preciado Inactive

L. Duarte Injury

A. Franco Personal Reasons

A. Minda Inactive

Patrick Silva Knee Injury

Indio Knee Injury

Palmeiras

A. Barboza Yellow Cards

Khellven Yellow Cards

R. Sosa Yellow Cards

Vitor Roque Ankle Injury

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

Palmeiras win45%

Draw45%

Atletico-MG win10%

AdviceDouble chance : Palmeiras or draw

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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