Brazil · Serie A

Palmeiras vs Internacional

Kick-off 20:00 · Sun, Aug 9

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

73% confidence

Palmeiras 72.8% Draw 16.9% Internacional 10.3%

Over 2.5 - 71% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

AI verdict (fallback)

🤝 Bookmakers agree - bookies say 84%

⚠️ AIs disagree

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 9.3%, based on the goal model.

AI verdict (fallback)

Recent form leans to Palmeiras: 11 points versus 5 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.50 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.3%

Exact-score model probability

Bookmaker implied chance

84%

Market agrees with this pick

Palmeiras

W L W W D D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 13:5 Scored/game 2.17 Conceded/game 0.83

Internacional

D L L L W D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 8:10 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Palmeiras win72.8%

Draw16.9%

Internacional win10.3%

Over 1.5 goals88.9%

Over 2.5 goals70.9%

Over 3.5 goals49.8%

Both teams to score58.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

88.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

88.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

88.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.7%

Draw No Bet - Home86.8%

Home or Away (12)84.7%

Home Win73.5%

Both Halves Over 0.570.1%

Goal in Both Halves70.1%

Draw or Away (X2)26.3%

Draw15.2%

Draw No Bet - Away13.2%

Away Win11.1%

Exactly 1 Goal9.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.3%

Over 1.5 Goals87.9%

Under 5.5 Goals83.7%

Over 2.5 Goals70.7%

Under 4.5 Goals69.5%

2-4 Goals57.4%

Under 3.5 Goals50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Total Goals Even49.9%

Over 3.5 Goals49.7%

4+ Goals49.7%

1-3 Goals47.5%

3-4 Goals40.3%

2-3 Goals38.2%

Over 4.5 Goals30.5%

Under 2.5 Goals29.3%

1-2 Goals26.5%

Exactly 3 Goals21.0%

Exactly 2 Goals17.2%

Over 5.5 Goals16.3%

Under 1.5 Goals12.1%

Under 0.5 Goals2.7%

Exactly 0 Goals2.6%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score93.1%

Away Team to Score62.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)57.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)42.1%

Home Clean Sheet37.7%

Home Win to Nil35.1%

Away Clean Sheet6.8%

Away Win to Nil4.2%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.593.1%

Home Over 1.574.8%

Away Over 0.562.1%

Home Over 2.550.3%

Home 3+ Goals50.3%

Away Exactly 037.7%

Away Exactly 136.7%

Away Over 1.525.4%

Home Exactly 224.5%

Home Exactly 118.2%

Away Exactly 217.9%

Away Over 2.57.5%

Away 3+ Goals7.5%

Home Exactly 06.8%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.8%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)97.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)96.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home96.2%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)92.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away92.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.7%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)83.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away83.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)73.5%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)67.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away67.7%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)52.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home52.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)47.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away47.1%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)32.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home32.1%

Home to win by 3+32.1%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)26.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away26.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw20.8%

Home to win by 120.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.5%

Home to win by 220.5%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home16.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw9.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.5%

Away to win by 17.5%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)7.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home7.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw4.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)3.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away3.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home2.8%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.7%

Away to win by 22.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.9%

Away to win by 3+0.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.7%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.557.4%

BTTS & Over 2.551.2%

Home & BTTS38.4%

Home & No BTTS35.1%

No BTTS & Under 2.522.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.519.5%

Home & Under 2.516.1%

Draw & BTTS12.6%

Draw & Under 2.59.3%

Away & Over 2.57.4%

Away & BTTS6.9%

BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Draw & Over 2.55.9%

Away & No BTTS4.2%

Away & Under 2.53.7%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.580.8%

HT Home Win55.8%

HT/FT Home/Home51.3%

HT Under 1.550.9%

HT Over 1.549.1%

2nd Half More Goals46.6%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw30.8%

HT Both Teams Score24.9%

Equal Goals Each Half21.4%

HT Under 0.519.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.7%

HT Away Win13.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw8.1%

HT/FT Away/Away6.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away4.1%

HT/FT Away/Home3.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.5%

HT/FT Home/Away1.0%

Corners (12)

Over 8.5 Corners68.6%

Under 11.5 Corners67.8%

Away Over 4.5 Corners64.2%

Over 9.5 Corners56.3%

Under 10.5 Corners56.2%

Away Most Corners54.1%

Home Over 4.5 Corners49.9%

Over 10.5 Corners43.8%

Under 9.5 Corners43.7%

Home Most Corners33.7%

Over 11.5 Corners32.2%

Under 8.5 Corners31.4%

Cards (9)

Over 2.5 Cards80.7%

Under 5.5 Cards73.1%

Over 3.5 Cards62.9%

Under 4.5 Cards56.4%

Over 4.5 Cards43.6%

Under 3.5 Cards37.1%

Over 5.5 Cards26.9%

Under 2.5 Cards19.3%

Over 0.5 Red Cards17.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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