Brazil · Serie A

Palmeiras vs RB Bragantino

Kick-off 22:30 · Sat, Oct 24

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

87% confidence

Palmeiras 87.4% Draw 9.7% RB Bragantino 2.9%

Over 2.5 - 73% BTTS - 41%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

90%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

90%

Home Win

Strongest 1X2 probability

87%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 12.8%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Palmeiras: 14 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.8%

Exact-score model probability

Palmeiras

W W W D W D

Form 4-2-0 Goals 9:1 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.17

RB Bragantino

D W D L D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 10:10 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 1.67

📈 Probability Breakdown

Palmeiras win87.4%

Draw9.7%

RB Bragantino win2.9%

Over 1.5 goals89.6%

Over 2.5 goals72.6%

Over 3.5 goals52.0%

Both teams to score41.3%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Away (12)

90.8%

Over 1.5 Goals

88.5%

Home Win

87.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home96.2%

Home or Draw (1X)95.9%

Home or Away (12)90.8%

Home Win87.4%

Both Halves Over 0.571.5%

Goal in Both Halves71.5%

Draw or Away (X2)12.0%

Draw8.6%

Exactly 1 Goal8.6%

Draw No Bet - Away3.8%

Away Win3.5%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.1%

Over 1.5 Goals88.5%

Under 5.5 Goals82.4%

Over 2.5 Goals72.2%

Under 4.5 Goals67.8%

2-4 Goals56.3%

Over 3.5 Goals51.7%

4+ Goals51.7%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.6%

Under 3.5 Goals48.3%

1-3 Goals45.5%

3-4 Goals40.0%

2-3 Goals36.8%

Over 4.5 Goals32.2%

Under 2.5 Goals27.8%

1-2 Goals24.9%

Exactly 3 Goals20.5%

Over 5.5 Goals17.6%

Exactly 2 Goals16.3%

Under 1.5 Goals11.5%

Under 0.5 Goals2.9%

Exactly 0 Goals2.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)59.5%

Home Clean Sheet57.2%

Home Win to Nil55.0%

Away Team to Score42.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)40.5%

Away Clean Sheet4.0%

Away Win to Nil1.7%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.4%

Home Over 1.582.7%

Home Over 2.562.0%

Home 3+ Goals62.0%

Away Exactly 057.2%

Away Over 0.542.2%

Away Exactly 131.6%

Home Exactly 220.6%

Home Exactly 112.8%

Away Over 1.510.6%

Away Exactly 28.7%

Home Exactly 04.0%

Away Over 2.51.9%

Away 3+ Goals1.9%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)98.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home98.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home95.9%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)92.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)87.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)83.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away83.2%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)71.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home71.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)68.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away68.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)50.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home50.4%

Home to win by 3+50.4%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)49.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away49.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)30.8%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home30.8%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)28.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away28.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.7%

Home to win by 220.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw19.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)16.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home16.2%

Home to win by 116.2%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw14.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)12.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away12.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw8.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)7.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home7.3%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)3.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw2.8%

Away to win by 12.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw0.6%

Away to win by 20.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.1%

Away to win by 3+0.1%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.568.1%

Home & No BTTS55.0%

BTTS & Over 2.536.4%

No BTTS & Over 2.535.8%

Home & BTTS32.4%

No BTTS & Under 2.523.1%

Home & Under 2.519.2%

Draw & Under 2.56.3%

Draw & BTTS6.3%

BTTS & Under 2.54.1%

Draw & Over 2.52.2%

Away & Over 2.51.9%

Away & BTTS1.8%

Away & No BTTS1.7%

Away & Under 2.51.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.581.8%

HT Home Win68.5%

HT/FT Home/Home66.5%

HT Over 1.550.7%

HT Under 1.549.3%

2nd Half More Goals46.9%

1st Half More Goals32.0%

HT Draw25.4%

Equal Goals Each Half21.0%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.9%

HT Under 0.518.2%

HT Both Teams Score16.9%

HT Away Win6.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.1%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Away/Away1.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.4%

HT/FT Home/Away0.3%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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