UEFA Europa Conference League

Panathinaikos vs CSKA Sofia

Kick-off 21:00 · Thu, Nov 5

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

47% confidence

Panathinaikos 46.9% Draw 21.6% CSKA Sofia 31.5%

Over 2.5 - 79% BTTS - 77%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 1.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

93%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

78%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

77%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 7.6%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Panathinaikos: 9 points versus 5 across the last 5 matches.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

7.6%

Exact-score model probability

Panathinaikos

D W D D W

Form 2-3-0 Goals 9:7 Scored/game 1.8 Conceded/game 1.4

CSKA Sofia

L L L W D D

Form 1-2-3 Goals 4:8 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1.33

📈 Probability Breakdown

Panathinaikos win46.9%

Draw21.6%

CSKA Sofia win31.5%

Over 1.5 goals92.9%

Over 2.5 goals78.5%

Over 3.5 goals59.9%

Both teams to score77.0%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

91.9%

Home Team to Score

89.8%

Home Over 0.5

89.8%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)80.0%

Both Halves Over 0.576.1%

Goal in Both Halves76.1%

Home or Draw (1X)67.6%

Draw No Bet - Home59.6%

Draw or Away (X2)52.2%

Home Win47.7%

Draw No Bet - Away40.4%

Away Win32.3%

Draw19.9%

Exactly 1 Goal6.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.4%

Over 1.5 Goals91.9%

Over 2.5 Goals78.5%

Under 5.5 Goals75.9%

Over 3.5 Goals59.8%

4+ Goals59.8%

Under 4.5 Goals59.7%

2-4 Goals51.6%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Over 4.5 Goals40.3%

Under 3.5 Goals40.2%

1-3 Goals38.6%

3-4 Goals38.1%

2-3 Goals32.1%

Over 5.5 Goals24.1%

Under 2.5 Goals21.5%

1-2 Goals19.9%

Exactly 3 Goals18.7%

Exactly 2 Goals13.4%

Under 1.5 Goals8.1%

Under 0.5 Goals1.6%

Exactly 0 Goals1.5%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.8%

Away Team to Score84.7%

Both Teams Score (GG)76.1%

No Both Teams Score (NG)23.9%

Home Clean Sheet15.2%

Home Win to Nil13.7%

Away Clean Sheet10.1%

Away Win to Nil8.6%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.8%

Away Over 0.584.7%

Home Over 1.566.6%

Away Over 1.556.0%

Home Over 2.540.0%

Home 3+ Goals40.0%

Away Over 2.529.1%

Away 3+ Goals29.1%

Away Exactly 128.7%

Away Exactly 226.9%

Home Exactly 226.6%

Home Exactly 123.2%

Away Exactly 015.2%

Home Exactly 010.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)99.2%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)97.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away97.6%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home97.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)93.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away93.6%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)92.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home92.7%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)85.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away85.4%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)83.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home83.2%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)71.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away71.3%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)67.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home67.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)52.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away52.2%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)47.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)32.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)28.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home28.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw19.1%

Home to win by 119.1%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)16.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away16.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw15.7%

Away to win by 115.7%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)14.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home14.6%

Home to win by 3+14.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw14.1%

Home to win by 214.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw9.5%

Away to win by 29.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw8.2%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)7.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away7.2%

Away to win by 3+7.2%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)6.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home6.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw4.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw4.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away2.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)2.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home2.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw1.8%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw1.6%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.8%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.6%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.569.4%

Home & Over 2.540.1%

Home & BTTS34.0%

Away & Over 2.526.7%

Away & BTTS23.8%

Draw & BTTS18.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.514.8%

Home & No BTTS13.7%

Draw & Over 2.511.7%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.1%

Away & No BTTS8.6%

Draw & Under 2.58.2%

Home & Under 2.57.6%

BTTS & Under 2.56.7%

Away & Under 2.55.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.7%

HT Over 1.555.9%

2nd Half More Goals47.9%

HT Under 1.544.1%

HT Home Win39.0%

HT Both Teams Score36.7%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw31.9%

HT/FT Home/Home30.4%

HT Away Win29.1%

Equal Goals Each Half19.9%

HT/FT Away/Away19.6%

HT Under 0.515.3%

HT/FT Draw/Home13.2%

HT/FT Draw/Away9.7%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.0%

HT/FT Away/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Home/Draw5.5%

HT/FT Away/Home4.1%

HT/FT Home/Away3.1%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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