UEFA Europa League

PAOK vs Anderlecht

Full time · 0:1

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

92% confidence

PAOK 85.0% Draw 9.0% Anderlecht 6.0%

Over 2.5 - 92% BTTS - 69%

✗ Pick missed (0:1)

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home Win

Strong form

85%

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

70%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

PAOK's strong form and high scoring rate at home, combined with Anderlecht's struggles in defense, suggest a high-scoring match. PAOK's key players will look to exploit Anderlecht's weaknesses. The pi-ratings also favor PAOK. With PAOK's home advantage and Anderlecht's away struggles, the match is likely to see multiple goals. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring potential of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 92% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

92%

Chance of 3+ total goals

PAOK high-scoring games

50%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Anderlecht high-scoring games

66.7%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

PAOK

W W

Form 2-0-0 Goals 5:2 Scored/game 2.5 Conceded/game 1

Anderlecht

W D L W D D

Form 2-3-1 Goals 11:11 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.83

📈 Probability Breakdown

PAOK win85.0%

Draw9.0%

Anderlecht win6.0%

Over 1.5 goals97.9%

Over 2.5 goals92.0%

Over 3.5 goals81.2%

Both teams to score69.2%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.4%

Match Result (11)

Draw No Bet - Home94.9%

Home or Draw (1X)91.4%

Home or Away (12)89.3%

Both Halves Over 0.588.3%

Goal in Both Halves88.3%

Home Win84.7%

Draw or Away (X2)11.2%

Draw6.7%

Draw No Bet - Away5.1%

Away Win4.6%

Exactly 1 Goal1.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals95.6%

Over 1.5 Goals93.7%

Over 2.5 Goals88.3%

Over 3.5 Goals78.0%

4+ Goals78.0%

Over 4.5 Goals63.3%

Under 5.5 Goals53.5%

Total Goals Even48.1%

Total Goals Odd47.9%

Over 5.5 Goals46.5%

Under 4.5 Goals36.7%

2-4 Goals30.5%

3-4 Goals25.0%

Under 3.5 Goals22.0%

1-3 Goals17.7%

2-3 Goals15.8%

Under 2.5 Goals11.7%

Exactly 3 Goals10.3%

1-2 Goals7.3%

Under 1.5 Goals6.3%

Exactly 2 Goals5.4%

Under 0.5 Goals4.4%

Exactly 0 Goals0.3%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score94.9%

Away Team to Score67.1%

Both Teams Score (GG)66.3%

No Both Teams Score (NG)33.7%

Home Clean Sheet28.9%

Home Win to Nil28.6%

Away Clean Sheet1.1%

Away Win to Nil0.8%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.594.9%

Home Over 1.589.9%

Home Over 2.578.6%

Home 3+ Goals78.6%

Away Over 0.567.1%

Away Exactly 134.7%

Away Over 1.532.4%

Away Exactly 028.9%

Away Exactly 220.8%

Away Over 2.511.6%

Away 3+ Goals11.6%

Home Exactly 211.2%

Home Exactly 15.0%

Home Exactly 01.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)96.0%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)96.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home96.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)95.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home95.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)95.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home95.6%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)94.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home94.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)84.7%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)82.6%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)73.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home73.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)70.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away70.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)57.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home57.9%

Home to win by 3+57.9%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)55.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away55.1%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)40.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home40.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)38.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away38.1%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)25.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home25.4%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)22.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away22.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw15.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw15.5%

Home to win by 215.5%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)13.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home13.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw12.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw11.4%

Home to win by 111.4%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away11.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 13.0%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)1.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away1.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.1%

Away to win by 21.1%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.579.9%

BTTS & Over 2.564.5%

Home & BTTS56.2%

Home & No BTTS28.6%

No BTTS & Over 2.523.8%

Draw & BTTS6.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.55.9%

Home & Under 2.54.9%

Draw & Over 2.54.5%

Away & Over 2.53.9%

Away & BTTS3.8%

Draw & Under 2.52.1%

BTTS & Under 2.51.8%

Away & No BTTS0.8%

Away & Under 2.50.6%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.592.3%

HT Over 1.572.6%

HT Home Win72.5%

HT/FT Home/Home69.9%

2nd Half More Goals50.8%

HT Both Teams Score36.2%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Under 1.527.4%

HT Draw18.7%

Equal Goals Each Half16.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home14.4%

HT Away Win8.8%

HT Under 0.57.7%

HT/FT Away/Home4.3%

HT/FT Draw/Draw2.8%

HT/FT Away/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw1.9%

HT/FT Draw/Away1.5%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

← All predictions