UEFA Europa League

PAOK vs Dynamo Kyiv

Kick-off 18:45 · Thu, Jul 30

📊 Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

86% confidence

PAOK 78.0% Draw 12.0% Dynamo Kyiv 10.0%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 72%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

High scoring

⚠️ Market disagrees - bookies say 43%

⚠️ AIs disagree

68%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Both Teams Score (GG)

BTTS rate high

80%

Home Win

PAOK strong form

75%

🤖 AI Match Analysis

PAOK has a strong form with 3 goals scored in their last match. Dynamo Kyiv has struggled to score with only 0.67 goals per game. The head-to-head history also favors PAOK with a recent 3-2 win. PAOK's home advantage and high expected goals rate contribute to their favor. With PAOK's attacking threat and Dynamo Kyiv's defensive struggles, the match is likely to have multiple goals. 5 Goals is the strongest pick due to the high scoring potential of both teams.

💡

Top Tip

Over 2

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

Over 2.5 Goals is rated at 85.8% after combining both teams' recent goal output and defensive records.

High scoring

Numbers behind this Over 2.5 Goals

Over 2.5 Goals probability

85.8%

Chance of 3+ total goals

PAOK high-scoring games

100%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Dynamo Kyiv high-scoring games

33.3%

Recent matches with 3+ goals

Bookmaker implied chance

43%

Market does not fully agree

PAOK

Form 1-0-0 Goals 3:2 Scored/game 3 Conceded/game 2

Dynamo Kyiv

L D D

Form 0-2-1 Goals 2:3 Scored/game 0.67 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 1

PAOK 1wins ·0 draws ·Dynamo Kyiv 0wins

PAOK 3-2 Dynamo KyivJul 23, 2026

📈 Probability Breakdown

PAOK win78.0%

Draw12.0%

Dynamo Kyiv win10.0%

Over 1.5 goals95.6%

Over 2.5 goals85.8%

Over 3.5 goals70.0%

Both teams to score71.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

88.4%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

88.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

88.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.4%

Draw No Bet - Home87.7%

Home or Away (12)86.9%

Both Halves Over 0.582.0%

Goal in Both Halves82.0%

Home Win76.3%

Draw or Away (X2)22.8%

Draw No Bet - Away12.3%

Draw12.2%

Away Win10.7%

Exactly 1 Goal4.0%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals94.3%

Over 2.5 Goals84.7%

Over 3.5 Goals69.4%

4+ Goals69.4%

Under 5.5 Goals66.3%

Over 4.5 Goals51.2%

Total Goals Even49.6%

Total Goals Odd49.5%

Under 4.5 Goals48.8%

2-4 Goals43.1%

Over 5.5 Goals33.7%

3-4 Goals33.5%

Under 3.5 Goals30.6%

1-3 Goals28.8%

2-3 Goals24.8%

Under 2.5 Goals15.3%

Exactly 3 Goals15.3%

1-2 Goals13.6%

Exactly 2 Goals9.6%

Under 1.5 Goals5.7%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals0.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.9%

Away Team to Score73.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)70.6%

No Both Teams Score (NG)29.4%

Home Clean Sheet26.1%

Home Win to Nil25.3%

Away Clean Sheet3.2%

Away Win to Nil2.3%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.9%

Home Over 1.585.0%

Away Over 0.573.0%

Home Over 2.566.1%

Home 3+ Goals66.1%

Away Over 1.538.1%

Away Exactly 134.8%

Away Exactly 026.1%

Away Exactly 223.2%

Home Exactly 218.9%

Away Over 2.514.9%

Away 3+ Goals14.9%

Home Exactly 111.0%

Home Exactly 03.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.1%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)98.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home98.8%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.8%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.8%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.0%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.5%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.4%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.5%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)76.3%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)74.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away74.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)59.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home59.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)58.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away58.6%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)40.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home40.5%

Home to win by 3+40.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)39.9%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away39.9%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)24.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home24.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)22.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away22.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.6%

Home to win by 218.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.1%

Home to win by 117.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw16.3%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)12.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home12.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw11.7%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)10.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.6%

Away to win by 16.6%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.6%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw2.8%

Away to win by 22.8%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.9%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.568.4%

BTTS & Over 2.566.8%

Home & BTTS51.0%

Home & No BTTS25.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.517.9%

Draw & BTTS11.3%

No BTTS & Under 2.510.6%

Away & Over 2.58.8%

Away & BTTS8.3%

Home & Under 2.57.9%

Draw & Over 2.57.5%

Draw & Under 2.54.7%

BTTS & Under 2.53.8%

Away & No BTTS2.3%

Away & Under 2.51.9%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.588.4%

HT Over 1.563.4%

HT Home Win60.6%

HT/FT Home/Home55.9%

2nd Half More Goals49.2%

HT Under 1.536.6%

HT Both Teams Score35.6%

1st Half More Goals32.4%

HT Draw25.2%

Equal Goals Each Half18.4%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.4%

HT Away Win14.2%

HT Under 0.511.6%

HT/FT Away/Away6.0%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.4%

HT/FT Away/Home4.8%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.5%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.4%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

🔎 API-Football Model

An independent statistical model, shown for comparison.

PAOK win45%

Draw45%

Dynamo Kyiv win10%

AdviceWinner : PAOK

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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