France · Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Monaco

Kick-off 17:15 · Sun, Nov 1

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

39% confidence

Paris FC 39.2% Draw 27.7% Monaco 33.2%

Over 2.5 - 84% BTTS - 65%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

84%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

72%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

65%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-0 at 9.2%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Paris FC: 10 points versus 9 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.83 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

9.2%

Exact-score model probability

Paris FC

L L W D W W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 9:6 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 1

Monaco

D L D W D W

Form 2-3-1 Goals 8:7 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 1.17

Head to head · last 2

Paris FC 2wins ·0 draws ·Monaco 0wins

Paris FC 4-1 MonacoApr 10, 2026

Paris FC 1-0 MonacoNov 1, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Paris FC win39.2%

Draw27.7%

Monaco win33.2%

Over 1.5 goals75.3%

Over 2.5 goals84.1%

Over 3.5 goals27.7%

Both teams to score64.9%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Over 1.5 Goals

90.8%

Home or Away (12)

88.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

86.4%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)92.5%

Draw No Bet - Home92.2%

Home or Away (12)88.3%

Home Win81.4%

Both Halves Over 0.575.0%

Goal in Both Halves75.0%

Draw or Away (X2)18.0%

Draw11.1%

Draw No Bet - Away7.8%

Away Win6.9%

Exactly 1 Goal6.9%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals90.8%

Under 5.5 Goals78.0%

Over 2.5 Goals76.7%

Under 4.5 Goals62.1%

Over 3.5 Goals57.5%

4+ Goals57.5%

2-4 Goals52.8%

Total Goals Even49.8%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Under 3.5 Goals42.5%

1-3 Goals40.3%

3-4 Goals38.7%

Over 4.5 Goals37.9%

2-3 Goals33.3%

Under 2.5 Goals23.3%

Over 5.5 Goals22.0%

1-2 Goals21.1%

Exactly 3 Goals19.2%

Exactly 2 Goals14.1%

Under 1.5 Goals9.2%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals1.7%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.3%

Away Team to Score58.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)55.9%

No Both Teams Score (NG)44.1%

Home Clean Sheet41.2%

Home Win to Nil39.5%

Away Clean Sheet4.1%

Away Win to Nil2.4%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 1.582.2%

Home Over 2.561.2%

Home 3+ Goals61.2%

Away Over 0.558.3%

Away Exactly 041.2%

Away Exactly 136.3%

Away Over 1.522.0%

Home Exactly 221.0%

Away Exactly 216.0%

Home Exactly 113.1%

Away Over 2.56.0%

Away 3+ Goals6.0%

Home Exactly 04.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.0%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.4%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)93.8%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)92.5%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home92.5%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)86.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away86.4%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)81.4%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)73.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away73.8%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)63.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home63.8%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)56.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away56.0%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)43.5%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home43.5%

Home to win by 3+43.5%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)35.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away35.7%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)25.6%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home25.6%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw20.3%

Home to win by 220.3%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)18.0%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away18.0%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw17.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw17.6%

Home to win by 117.6%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)13.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home13.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw12.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw7.4%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)6.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)5.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home5.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw4.9%

Away to win by 14.9%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.0%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.6%

Away to win by 21.6%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.5%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.5%

Away to win by 3+0.5%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.4%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.567.3%

BTTS & Over 2.551.1%

Home & BTTS41.9%

Home & No BTTS39.5%

No BTTS & Over 2.525.6%

No BTTS & Under 2.518.0%

Home & Under 2.514.1%

Draw & BTTS9.4%

Draw & Under 2.56.5%

BTTS & Under 2.54.8%

Away & Over 2.54.7%

Draw & Over 2.54.6%

Away & BTTS4.5%

Away & No BTTS2.4%

Away & Under 2.52.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.584.0%

HT Home Win63.4%

HT/FT Home/Home60.1%

HT Over 1.554.7%

2nd Half More Goals47.7%

HT Under 1.545.3%

1st Half More Goals32.2%

HT Draw26.5%

HT Both Teams Score25.0%

Equal Goals Each Half20.1%

HT/FT Draw/Home18.2%

HT Under 0.516.0%

HT Away Win10.1%

HT/FT Draw/Draw5.8%

HT/FT Away/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Home3.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Home/Draw2.7%

HT/FT Draw/Away2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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