France · Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Nice

Kick-off 14:00 · Sun, Aug 30

📊 Our Prediction

Home +3.5 (Handicap)

48% confidence

Paris FC 48.2% Draw 27.8% Nice 24.0%

Over 2.5 - 69% BTTS - 48%

🎯 Best Pick

Home or Draw (1X)

Double chance from Poisson

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

76%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-0 at 14.4%, based on the goal model.

Double chance from Poisson

Recent form leans to Paris FC: 10 points versus 6 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 2.67 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +3.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-0

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

14.4%

Exact-score model probability

Paris FC

D W L W L W

Form 3-1-2 Goals 10:5 Scored/game 1.67 Conceded/game 0.83

Nice

D W D L D L

Form 1-3-2 Goals 6:6 Scored/game 1 Conceded/game 1

Head to head · last 2

Paris FC 1wins ·1 draws ·Nice 0wins

Paris FC 1-0 NiceMar 1, 2026

Paris FC 1-1 NiceSep 28, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Paris FC win48.2%

Draw27.8%

Nice win24.0%

Over 1.5 goals72.2%

Over 2.5 goals69.3%

Over 3.5 goals24.3%

Both teams to score47.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home or Draw (1X)

91.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)

91.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home

91.2%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)91.2%

Draw No Bet - Home89.4%

Home or Away (12)83.0%

Home Win74.2%

Both Halves Over 0.557.3%

Goal in Both Halves57.3%

Draw or Away (X2)25.7%

Draw17.0%

Exactly 1 Goal16.4%

Draw No Bet - Away10.6%

Away Win8.8%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals94.2%

Under 5.5 Goals93.1%

Under 4.5 Goals84.0%

Over 1.5 Goals77.7%

Under 3.5 Goals68.0%

1-3 Goals62.2%

2-4 Goals61.7%

Over 2.5 Goals54.3%

Total Goals Even50.1%

Total Goals Odd49.8%

2-3 Goals45.8%

Under 2.5 Goals45.7%

1-2 Goals39.9%

3-4 Goals38.2%

Over 3.5 Goals32.0%

4+ Goals32.0%

Exactly 2 Goals23.5%

Under 1.5 Goals22.3%

Exactly 3 Goals22.3%

Over 4.5 Goals16.0%

Over 5.5 Goals6.9%

Under 0.5 Goals5.8%

Exactly 0 Goals5.8%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score89.2%

No Both Teams Score (NG)58.8%

Home Clean Sheet53.8%

Home Win to Nil48.0%

Away Team to Score46.2%

Both Teams Score (GG)41.2%

Away Clean Sheet10.7%

Away Win to Nil4.9%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.589.2%

Home Over 1.565.3%

Away Exactly 053.8%

Away Over 0.546.2%

Home Over 2.538.6%

Home 3+ Goals38.6%

Away Exactly 133.3%

Home Exactly 226.7%

Home Exactly 123.9%

Away Over 1.512.8%

Home Exactly 010.7%

Away Exactly 210.3%

Away Over 2.52.5%

Away 3+ Goals2.5%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.9%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.9%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)99.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home99.6%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)97.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home97.9%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)94.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away94.9%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)91.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home91.2%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)87.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away87.1%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)72.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away72.1%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)50.1%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home50.1%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)49.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away49.8%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)27.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home27.8%

Home to win by 3+27.8%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away25.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw24.1%

Home to win by 124.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw22.3%

Home to win by 222.3%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)12.9%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home12.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)8.8%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw7.8%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw6.7%

Away to win by 16.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)5.0%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home5.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)2.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away2.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.7%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw1.7%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.7%

Away to win by 21.7%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)0.4%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away0.4%

Away to win by 3+0.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.1%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.0%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & No BTTS48.0%

Home & Over 2.547.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.537.7%

BTTS & Over 2.533.3%

Home & Under 2.527.2%

Home & BTTS26.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.521.0%

Draw & Under 2.513.7%

Draw & BTTS11.2%

BTTS & Under 2.58.0%

Away & No BTTS4.9%

Away & Under 2.54.7%

Away & Over 2.54.1%

Away & BTTS3.8%

Draw & Over 2.53.2%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.572.3%

HT Under 1.563.2%

HT Home Win53.8%

HT/FT Home/Home50.3%

2nd Half More Goals44.0%

HT Over 1.536.8%

HT Draw36.0%

1st Half More Goals31.2%

HT Under 0.527.7%

Equal Goals Each Half24.7%

HT/FT Draw/Home21.3%

HT Both Teams Score15.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw11.0%

HT Away Win10.2%

HT/FT Away/Away4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.7%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.0%

HT/FT Away/Home2.6%

HT/FT Home/Away0.5%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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