France · Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Rennes

Kick-off 16:15 · Sun, Oct 18

📊 Our Prediction

Home +5.5 (Handicap)

44% confidence

Paris FC 43.8% Draw 26.3% Rennes 29.9%

Over 2.5 - 86% BTTS - 70%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

70%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 2-1 at 9%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Rennes: 11 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.16 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

2-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Paris FC

L W D W W D

Form 3-2-1 Goals 8:4 Scored/game 1.33 Conceded/game 0.67

Rennes

W W W D L W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 11:9 Scored/game 1.83 Conceded/game 1.5

Head to head · last 2

Paris FC 0wins ·0 draws ·Rennes 2wins

Paris FC 1-2 RennesMay 10, 2026

Paris FC 0-1 RennesNov 7, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Paris FC win43.8%

Draw26.3%

Rennes win29.9%

Over 1.5 goals77.0%

Over 2.5 goals85.6%

Over 3.5 goals30.2%

Both teams to score69.5%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Home Team to Score

91.6%

Home Over 0.5

91.6%

Over 1.5 Goals

89.3%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)81.7%

Home or Draw (1X)80.9%

Draw No Bet - Home76.7%

Both Halves Over 0.572.1%

Goal in Both Halves72.1%

Home Win62.7%

Draw or Away (X2)37.2%

Draw No Bet - Away23.3%

Away Win19.0%

Draw18.2%

Exactly 1 Goal8.4%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals97.7%

Over 1.5 Goals89.3%

Under 5.5 Goals81.3%

Over 2.5 Goals73.4%

Under 4.5 Goals66.4%

2-4 Goals55.8%

Over 3.5 Goals53.0%

4+ Goals53.0%

Total Goals Even50.0%

Total Goals Odd49.9%

Under 3.5 Goals47.0%

1-3 Goals44.7%

3-4 Goals39.8%

2-3 Goals36.3%

Over 4.5 Goals33.6%

Under 2.5 Goals26.6%

1-2 Goals24.3%

Exactly 3 Goals20.4%

Over 5.5 Goals18.7%

Exactly 2 Goals16.0%

Under 1.5 Goals10.7%

Under 0.5 Goals2.3%

Exactly 0 Goals2.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score91.6%

Away Team to Score73.5%

Both Teams Score (GG)67.4%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.6%

Home Clean Sheet26.4%

Home Win to Nil24.2%

Away Clean Sheet8.3%

Away Win to Nil6.1%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.591.6%

Away Over 0.573.5%

Home Over 1.571.0%

Home Over 2.545.3%

Home 3+ Goals45.3%

Away Over 1.538.4%

Away Exactly 135.1%

Away Exactly 026.4%

Home Exactly 225.7%

Away Exactly 223.4%

Home Exactly 120.6%

Away Over 2.515.0%

Away 3+ Goals15.0%

Home Exactly 08.3%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.9%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.7%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)98.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)97.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home97.3%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)95.3%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away95.3%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)92.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home92.1%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)88.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away88.7%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)80.9%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home80.9%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)76.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away76.5%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)62.7%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)58.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away58.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)41.6%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home41.6%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)37.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away37.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)23.4%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home23.4%

Home to win by 3+23.4%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw21.1%

Home to win by 121.1%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)19.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw18.2%

Home to win by 218.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw12.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw11.3%

Away to win by 111.3%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)11.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home11.2%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)7.7%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away7.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw6.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw5.2%

Away to win by 25.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)4.6%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home4.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw3.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)2.6%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away2.6%

Away to win by 3+2.6%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.9%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)1.6%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home1.6%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.7%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.5%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.560.2%

Home & Over 2.550.4%

Home & BTTS38.5%

Home & No BTTS24.2%

No BTTS & Under 2.519.3%

Draw & BTTS16.0%

Away & Over 2.514.2%

No BTTS & Over 2.513.2%

Away & BTTS12.9%

Home & Under 2.512.2%

Draw & Under 2.59.4%

Draw & Over 2.58.8%

BTTS & Under 2.57.3%

Away & No BTTS6.1%

Away & Under 2.54.8%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.582.1%

HT Over 1.551.3%

HT Under 1.548.7%

HT Home Win48.3%

2nd Half More Goals47.1%

HT/FT Home/Home41.9%

HT Draw32.1%

1st Half More Goals32.1%

HT Both Teams Score30.4%

Equal Goals Each Half20.9%

HT Away Win19.6%

HT Under 0.517.9%

HT/FT Draw/Home16.7%

HT/FT Away/Away10.8%

HT/FT Draw/Draw9.0%

HT/FT Draw/Away6.4%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.6%

HT/FT Away/Home4.2%

HT/FT Home/Away1.8%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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