France · Ligue 1

Paris FC vs Strasbourg

Kick-off 16:15 · Sat, Sep 19

📊 Our Prediction

Home +4.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Paris FC 45.5% Draw 25.9% Strasbourg 28.6%

Over 2.5 - 91% BTTS - 67%

🎯 Best Pick

Over 2.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

91%

▸ Show 2 alternatives

Home or Away (12)

Double chance from Poisson

74%

Both Teams Score

BTTS Poisson estimate

67%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 3-1 at 8%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Strasbourg: 11 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 4.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Home +4.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

3-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

Exact-score model probability

Paris FC

D W W D W L

Form 3-2-1 Goals 9:5 Scored/game 1.5 Conceded/game 0.83

Strasbourg

D W W L W W

Form 4-1-1 Goals 16:13 Scored/game 2.67 Conceded/game 2.17

Head to head · last 2

Paris FC 0wins ·1 draws ·Strasbourg 1wins

Paris FC 0-0 StrasbourgMar 15, 2026

Paris FC 2-3 StrasbourgSep 21, 2025

📈 Probability Breakdown

Paris FC win45.5%

Draw25.9%

Strasbourg win28.6%

Over 1.5 goals78.9%

Over 2.5 goals90.6%

Over 3.5 goals32.5%

Both teams to score66.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +4.5 (Handicap)

89.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away

89.0%

Home or Draw (1X)

88.0%

Match Result (11)

Home or Draw (1X)88.0%

Draw No Bet - Home86.6%

Home or Away (12)86.1%

Both Halves Over 0.578.8%

Goal in Both Halves78.8%

Home Win74.6%

Draw or Away (X2)24.8%

Draw No Bet - Away13.4%

Draw13.3%

Away Win11.5%

Exactly 1 Goal5.3%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Over 0.5 Goals98.3%

Over 1.5 Goals93.0%

Over 2.5 Goals81.2%

Under 5.5 Goals72.1%

Over 3.5 Goals64.0%

4+ Goals64.0%

Under 4.5 Goals55.2%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Total Goals Even49.7%

2-4 Goals48.1%

Over 4.5 Goals44.8%

3-4 Goals36.4%

Under 3.5 Goals36.0%

1-3 Goals34.3%

2-3 Goals29.0%

Over 5.5 Goals27.9%

Under 2.5 Goals18.8%

Exactly 3 Goals17.3%

1-2 Goals17.0%

Exactly 2 Goals11.7%

Under 1.5 Goals7.0%

Under 0.5 Goals1.7%

Exactly 0 Goals1.2%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Home Team to Score95.3%

Away Team to Score71.0%

Both Teams Score (GG)68.0%

No Both Teams Score (NG)32.0%

Home Clean Sheet28.5%

Home Win to Nil27.3%

Away Clean Sheet4.2%

Away Win to Nil3.0%

Team Goals (14)

Home Over 0.595.3%

Home Over 1.582.0%

Away Over 0.571.0%

Home Over 2.561.0%

Home 3+ Goals61.0%

Away Exactly 135.6%

Away Over 1.535.3%

Away Exactly 028.5%

Away Exactly 222.3%

Home Exactly 221.1%

Home Exactly 113.3%

Away Over 2.513.1%

Away 3+ Goals13.1%

Home Exactly 04.2%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.4%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.4%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.4%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)99.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home99.1%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)98.2%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home98.2%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)95.2%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home95.2%

Away +5.5 (Handicap)95.1%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)89.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away89.0%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)88.0%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home88.0%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)78.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away78.3%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)74.6%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)62.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away62.4%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)56.3%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home56.3%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)43.2%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away43.2%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)37.0%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home37.0%

Home to win by 3+37.0%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)24.8%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away24.8%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)21.1%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home21.1%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw19.2%

Home to win by 219.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw18.4%

Home to win by 118.4%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw15.9%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)11.5%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw10.7%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)10.4%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home10.4%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw7.2%

Away to win by 17.2%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw6.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)4.4%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home4.4%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)4.3%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away4.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw3.0%

Away to win by 23.0%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)1.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away1.3%

Away to win by 3+1.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw1.0%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)0.3%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away0.3%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw0.3%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away0.1%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.1%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.0%

Combos (15)

Home & Over 2.564.8%

BTTS & Over 2.563.2%

Home & BTTS47.3%

Home & No BTTS27.3%

No BTTS & Over 2.518.0%

No BTTS & Under 2.513.5%

Draw & BTTS12.1%

Home & Under 2.59.8%

Away & Over 2.59.1%

Away & BTTS8.5%

Draw & Over 2.57.4%

Draw & Under 2.55.9%

BTTS & Under 2.54.7%

Away & No BTTS3.0%

Away & Under 2.52.4%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.586.4%

HT Over 1.559.2%

HT Home Win58.4%

HT/FT Home/Home53.6%

2nd Half More Goals48.5%

HT Under 1.540.8%

HT Both Teams Score32.7%

1st Half More Goals32.3%

HT Draw27.0%

Equal Goals Each Half19.2%

HT/FT Draw/Home17.0%

HT Away Win14.6%

HT Under 0.513.6%

HT/FT Away/Away6.4%

HT/FT Draw/Draw6.2%

HT/FT Away/Home4.6%

HT/FT Draw/Away3.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Draw3.6%

HT/FT Home/Away1.2%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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