Italy · Serie A

Parma vs Bologna

Kick-off 18:00 · Sat, Nov 7

📊 Our Prediction

Away +5.5 (Handicap)

46% confidence

Parma 23.6% Draw 30.0% Bologna 46.3%

Over 2.5 - 60% BTTS - 59%

🎯 Best Pick

Under 3.5 Goals

Goal-line projection

🤖🤖🤖 All 3 AIs agree

86%

▸ Show 1 alternative

Draw or Away (X2)

Double chance from Poisson

76%

🔎 Full match intelligenceForm · stats · H2H · team news

Why this pick was selected

The score forecast is led by 1-1 at 12.1%, based on the goal model.

Goal-line projection

Recent form leans to Bologna: 7 points versus 13 across the last 6 matches.

Recent scoring profiles point to an open game: the two sides combine for 3.17 goals scored per match.

Numbers behind this Away +5.5 (Handicap)

Most likely score

1-1

Top Poisson scoreline

Scoreline probability

12.1%

Exact-score model probability

Parma

W D L L L W

Form 2-1-3 Goals 7:9 Scored/game 1.17 Conceded/game 1.5

Bologna

W W W L W D

Form 4-1-1 Goals 12:8 Scored/game 2 Conceded/game 1.33

Head to head · last 4

Parma 2wins ·1 draws ·Bologna 1wins

Parma 1-0 BolognaFeb 8, 2026

Parma 1-3 BolognaNov 2, 2025

Parma 2-0 BolognaFeb 22, 2025

Parma 0-0 BolognaOct 6, 2024

📈 Probability Breakdown

Parma win23.6%

Draw30.0%

Bologna win46.3%

Over 1.5 goals59.1%

Over 2.5 goals59.5%

Over 3.5 goals14.0%

Both teams to score58.6%

🎯 Full Market Board

Our model's probability across every market, ranked most likely first.

Away +1.5 (Handicap)

90.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away

90.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)

89.7%

Match Result (11)

Home or Away (12)74.7%

Draw or Away (X2)74.2%

Draw No Bet - Away65.4%

Both Halves Over 0.552.8%

Goal in Both Halves52.8%

Home or Draw (1X)51.2%

Away Win48.8%

Draw No Bet - Home34.6%

Home Win25.8%

Draw25.3%

Exactly 1 Goal19.1%

Goals Over/Under (23)

Under 5.5 Goals95.0%

Over 0.5 Goals92.7%

Under 4.5 Goals87.5%

Over 1.5 Goals73.6%

Under 3.5 Goals73.3%

1-3 Goals65.9%

2-4 Goals61.1%

Under 2.5 Goals51.4%

Total Goals Even50.3%

Total Goals Odd49.7%

Over 2.5 Goals48.6%

2-3 Goals46.8%

1-2 Goals44.1%

3-4 Goals36.1%

Over 3.5 Goals26.7%

4+ Goals26.7%

Under 1.5 Goals26.4%

Exactly 2 Goals25.0%

Exactly 3 Goals21.8%

Over 4.5 Goals12.5%

Under 0.5 Goals7.3%

Exactly 0 Goals7.3%

Over 5.5 Goals5.0%

BTTS & Defence (8)

Away Team to Score78.9%

Home Team to Score65.3%

Both Teams Score (GG)51.5%

No Both Teams Score (NG)48.5%

Away Clean Sheet34.7%

Away Win to Nil27.4%

Home Clean Sheet21.1%

Home Win to Nil13.8%

Team Goals (14)

Away Over 0.578.9%

Home Over 0.565.3%

Away Over 1.546.1%

Home Exactly 136.7%

Home Exactly 034.7%

Away Exactly 132.8%

Home Over 1.528.6%

Away Exactly 225.5%

Away Exactly 021.1%

Away Over 2.520.6%

Away 3+ Goals20.6%

Home Exactly 219.4%

Home Over 2.59.1%

Home 3+ Goals9.1%

Handicap & Margin (60)

Away +5.5 (Handicap)100.0%

Away +4.5 (Handicap)99.9%

European Handicap 0:5 - Away99.9%

Home +5.5 (Handicap)99.8%

Away +3.5 (Handicap)99.3%

European Handicap 0:4 - Away99.3%

Home +4.5 (Handicap)99.0%

European Handicap 5:0 - Home99.0%

Away +2.5 (Handicap)97.2%

European Handicap 0:3 - Away97.2%

Home +3.5 (Handicap)96.6%

European Handicap 4:0 - Home96.6%

Away +1.5 (Handicap)90.3%

European Handicap 0:2 - Away90.3%

Home +2.5 (Handicap)89.7%

European Handicap 3:0 - Home89.7%

Home +1.5 (Handicap)74.9%

European Handicap 2:0 - Home74.9%

Away +0.5 (Handicap)74.2%

European Handicap 0:1 - Away74.2%

Home +0.5 (Handicap)51.2%

European Handicap 1:0 - Home51.2%

Away -0.5 (Handicap)48.8%

Home -0.5 (Handicap)25.8%

Away -1.5 (Handicap)25.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Away25.1%

European Handicap 1:0 - Draw23.7%

Away to win by 123.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Draw16.1%

Home to win by 116.1%

European Handicap 2:0 - Draw14.9%

Away to win by 214.9%

Away -2.5 (Handicap)10.3%

European Handicap 2:0 - Away10.3%

Away to win by 3+10.3%

Home -1.5 (Handicap)9.7%

European Handicap 0:1 - Home9.7%

European Handicap 0:2 - Draw6.9%

Home to win by 26.9%

European Handicap 3:0 - Draw6.8%

Away -3.5 (Handicap)3.4%

European Handicap 3:0 - Away3.4%

Home -2.5 (Handicap)2.8%

European Handicap 0:2 - Home2.8%

Home to win by 3+2.8%

European Handicap 4:0 - Draw2.5%

European Handicap 0:3 - Draw2.2%

Away -4.5 (Handicap)1.0%

European Handicap 4:0 - Away1.0%

Home -3.5 (Handicap)0.7%

European Handicap 0:3 - Home0.7%

European Handicap 5:0 - Draw0.7%

European Handicap 0:4 - Draw0.5%

Away -5.5 (Handicap)0.2%

European Handicap 5:0 - Away0.2%

Home -4.5 (Handicap)0.1%

European Handicap 0:4 - Home0.1%

European Handicap 0:5 - Draw0.1%

Home -5.5 (Handicap)0.0%

European Handicap 0:5 - Home0.0%

Combos (15)

BTTS & Over 2.539.5%

No BTTS & Under 2.539.4%

Away & Over 2.528.6%

Away & No BTTS27.4%

Away & BTTS21.5%

Away & Under 2.520.2%

Draw & Under 2.519.4%

Draw & BTTS18.0%

Home & Over 2.514.0%

Home & No BTTS13.8%

BTTS & Under 2.512.1%

Home & BTTS12.0%

Home & Under 2.511.8%

No BTTS & Over 2.59.1%

Draw & Over 2.56.0%

Half-Time & HT/FT (20)

HT Over 0.569.2%

HT Under 1.567.1%

2nd Half More Goals43.1%

HT Draw42.0%

HT Away Win36.1%

HT Over 1.532.9%

1st Half More Goals30.9%

HT Under 0.530.8%

HT/FT Away/Away29.7%

Equal Goals Each Half26.0%

HT Home Win21.9%

HT Both Teams Score19.1%

HT/FT Draw/Away16.6%

HT/FT Draw/Draw15.6%

HT/FT Home/Home14.5%

HT/FT Draw/Home9.8%

HT/FT Away/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Draw4.9%

HT/FT Home/Away2.5%

HT/FT Away/Home1.6%

How we predict: Probabilities come from a Poisson goal-expectation model fed by recent form, attack/defence ratings and home advantage. The AI summary is generated from the same numerical inputs and recent context.

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